Pisa CURSD Luck Score
2025-26 season · 37 matches played · View Serie A standings →
Pisa: 18 points from 40 expected, a gap of 22.2. Finishing has cost them: 13 fewer goals than their 38.2 xG should produce. Defensively, 11 more goals conceded than the 58.3 xGA opponents generated. 23 losses, 12 draws. The underlying numbers say this team is better than the table shows. Top driver: xPTS Gap (-31.6 CLS impact). 22 fewer points than xG simulations say they deserve
Data last updated May 1, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC
Key Stats
CLS Evolution
How the CLS has changed throughout the season
A defeat that defied the run of play. Pisa created 2.61 xG worth of chances - enough for roughly 3 goals on an average day. They scored 2. Napoli generated just 1.08 xG but made it count. The model valued this match at 2.3 points for Pisa. They got 0. That's 2.3 points of bad luck in 90 minutes.
Individual Games
☠ Unluckiest Matches
✦ Luckiest Matches
Core Contributing Factors
What's Driving the CLS
Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.
Future Outlook
Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.
See the oddsPisa are deeply cursed at -86. This level of underperformance almost never persists. The data they're generating - the chances created, the shots taken, the defensive work - all point to a team better than their record. Regression to the mean is one of the most reliable forces in sports.