What is the Ligue 1 Luck Index?

The Ligue 1 Luck Index uses expected goals (xG) to measure which French league teams have more or fewer points than their performance warrants.

Which Ligue 1 team is the unluckiest?

Check the rankings above sorted by 'Most Unlucky'. The team at the top has been most robbed by bad luck this season.

⚽ Ligue 1 Luck Index Rankings

The Ligue 1 Luck Index ranks all 18 French league teams using expected goals (xG) and expected points (xPTS). From PSG's dominance to the relegation battle, see which Ligue 1 teams are lucky, which are cursed, and who deserves better.

Season

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RK	Team	Pos	LAS	Record	Luck Index	Highlight
☠ Cursed
1	Auxerre Ligue 1 · 22 pts	16	12▲4	5W 7D 15L	-59	☠ Cursed Scored 7 fewer than xG (22 from 28.68 xG). 10.8 pts below expected.
2	Metz Ligue 1 · 14 pts	18	18	3W 5D 19L	-58	☠ Cursed 10.2 points below expected. Close games going the wrong way.
3	Nice Ligue 1 · 27 pts	15	14▲1	7W 6D 14L	-40	☠ Cursed 4.0 points below expected. Close games going the wrong way.
↓ Unlucky
4	Le Havre Ligue 1 · 27 pts	14	13▲1	6W 9D 12L	-26	↓ Unlucky Scored 8 fewer than xG (22 from 29.91 xG). 5.2 pts below expected.
5	Nantes Ligue 1 · 17 pts	17	17	4W 5D 17L	-25	↓ Unlucky 9.4 points below expected. Close games going the wrong way.
6	Lille Ligue 1 · 47 pts	4	4	14W 5D 8L	-18	↓ Unlucky 4.0 points above expected.
— Neutral
7	Paris FC Ligue 1 · 31 pts	13	15▼2	7W 10D 10L	-7	— Neutral 0.1 points above expected.
8	Monaco Ligue 1 · 46 pts	6	5▲1	14W 4D 9L	-6	— Neutral 4.8 points above expected.
9	Stade Brestois 29 Ligue 1 · 36 pts	11	9▲2	10W 6D 11L	-4	— Neutral Scored 4 fewer than xG (34 from 37.57 xG). 2.4 pts below expected.
10	Toulouse Ligue 1 · 37 pts	9	8▲1	10W 7D 11L	-3	— Neutral 2.8 points below expected. Close games going the wrong way.
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11	Strasbourg Ligue 1 · 40 pts	8	6▲2	11W 7D 9L	0	— Neutral 0.7 points below expected. Close games going the wrong way.
12	Lorient Ligue 1 · 37 pts	10	11▼1	9W 10D 8L	+15	— Neutral 2.0 points above expected.
↑ Lucky
13	Paris Saint Germain Ligue 1 · 63 pts	1	1	20W 3D 4L	+31	↑ Lucky 6.7 points above expected.
14	Lyon Ligue 1 · 47 pts	5	7▼2	14W 5D 8L	+33	↑ Lucky 6.5 points above expected.
15	Marseille Ligue 1 · 49 pts	3	3	15W 4D 8L	+36	↑ Lucky Scored 7 more than xG. Clinical finishing earning 5.5 extra pts.
16	Rennes Ligue 1 · 44 pts	7	10▼3	12W 8D 7L	+36	↑ Lucky 6.3 points above expected.
✦ Blessed
17	Angers Ligue 1 · 32 pts	12	16▼4	9W 5D 13L	+43	✦ Blessed 5.3 points above expected.
18	Lens Ligue 1 · 59 pts	2	2	19W 2D 6L	+51	✦ Blessed 11.0 points above expected.

Frequently Asked Questions

Luck Index Evolution

How each team's Luck Index has changed throughout the season

Above zero = lucky. Below zero = unlucky. Scale: -100 (cursed) to +100 (blessed).