🏒 NHL CURSD Luck Score Rankings

Hockey is the highest-variance major sport. Pucks bounce off posts, goalies have hot streaks, and shootouts are coin flips. The NHL CURSD Luck Score (CLS) captures all of it through 6 signals: Pythagorean expectation (expected wins from goals scored vs allowed, 25%), MoneyPuck xG finishing (are they scoring above their expected goals? 20%), xGA defense (15%), close-game record in one-goal games (15%), shootout net wins (15%), and overtime loss rate (10%). A team that controls play at 5-on-5 but keeps losing in the shootout will register as deeply cursed. A team riding a .940 save percentage from an average goaltender will register as blessed. The NHL is where regression hits hardest: the data says what the standings hide.

RK	Team	Pos	LAS	Record	CLS	Trend	Highlight	Share
↓ Unlucky
1	Vancouver Canucks NHL · 4 pts	24	22▲2	2-4-0	-16		↓ Unlucky 0.8 points below what their goal differential predicts. Something beyond the box score is working against them.
— Neutral
2	Detroit Red Wings NHL · 3 pts	28	26▲2	1-3-1	-14		— Neutral 0.4 points below what their goal differential predicts. Something beyond the box score is working against them.
3	New York Islanders NHL · 4 pts	23	23	2-3-0	-12		— Neutral 2.6 points below what their goal differential predicts. Something beyond the box score is working against them.
4	Dallas Stars NHL · 5 pts	20	19▲1	2-2-1	-12		— Neutral 2.1 points below what their goal differential predicts. Something beyond the box score is working against them.
5	Los Angeles Kings NHL · 2 pts	30	29▲1	0-2-2	-12		— Neutral 0.2 points below what their goal differential predicts. Something beyond the box score is working against them.
6	Toronto Maple Leafs NHL · 7 pts	12	10▲2	3-2-1	-7		— Neutral 0.2 points below what their goal differential predicts. Something beyond the box score is working against them.
7	Seattle Kraken NHL · 6 pts	15	14▲1	3-2-0	-6		— Neutral 1.5 points below what their goal differential predicts. Something beyond the box score is working against them.
8	Calgary Flames NHL · 0 pts	32	32	0-5-0	-6		— Neutral 0.9 points below what their goal differential predicts. Something beyond the box score is working against them.
9	New York Rangers NHL · 8 pts	4	4	4-2-0	-5		— Neutral 1.2 points below what their goal differential predicts. Something beyond the box score is working against them.
10	Chicago Blackhawks NHL · 2 pts	29	30▼1	1-5-0	-5		— Neutral 0.3 points below what their goal differential predicts. Something beyond the box score is working against them.
11	Minnesota Wild NHL · 7 pts	11	11	3-1-1	-4		— Neutral 1.0 points below what their goal differential predicts. Something beyond the box score is working against them.
12	Colorado Avalanche NHL · 6 pts	14	15▼1	3-2-0	-3		— Neutral 1.6 points below what their goal differential predicts. Something beyond the box score is working against them.
13	New Jersey Devils NHL · 4 pts	26	25▲1	2-2-0	-3		— Neutral 1.1 points above what their goal differential predicts. Getting results that their underlying numbers don't fully justify.
14	St. Louis Blues NHL · 5 pts	21	21	2-2-1	-1		— Neutral 0.3 points above what their goal differential predicts. Getting results that their underlying numbers don't fully justify.
15	Anaheim Ducks NHL · 8 pts	7	5▲2	4-1-0	-1		— Neutral 0.8 points above what their goal differential predicts. Getting results that their underlying numbers don't fully justify.
16	Philadelphia Flyers NHL · 2 pts	31	31	0-4-2	-1		— Neutral 1.0 points above what their goal differential predicts. Getting results that their underlying numbers don't fully justify.
17	Nashville Predators NHL · 6 pts	17	16▲1	2-1-2	0		— Neutral 0.6 points above what their goal differential predicts. Getting results that their underlying numbers don't fully justify.
18	Pittsburgh Penguins NHL · 7 pts	10	12▼2	3-2-1	+1		— Neutral 1.2 points below what their goal differential predicts. Something beyond the box score is working against them.
19	Utah Mammoth NHL · 8 pts	6	6	4-2-0	+1		— Neutral 0.9 points below what their goal differential predicts. Something beyond the box score is working against them.
20	Washington Capitals NHL · 6 pts	16	17▼1	3-1-0	+1		— Neutral 0.2 points below what their goal differential predicts. Something beyond the box score is working against them.
21	Carolina Hurricanes NHL · 9 pts	2	2	4-1-1	+2		— Neutral 0.2 points above what their goal differential predicts. Getting results that their underlying numbers don't fully justify.
22	Edmonton Oilers NHL · 9 pts	3	3	4-0-1	+4		— Neutral 1.6 points above what their goal differential predicts. Getting results that their underlying numbers don't fully justify.
23	Florida Panthers NHL · 6 pts	19	18▲1	2-1-2	+6		— Neutral 2.1 points above what their goal differential predicts. Getting results that their underlying numbers don't fully justify.
24	Columbus Blue Jackets NHL · 4 pts	25	27▼2	2-2-0	+8		— Neutral 0.0 points above what their goal differential predicts. Getting results that their underlying numbers don't fully justify.
25	Vegas Golden Knights NHL · 10 pts	1	1	5-1-0	+8		— Neutral 0.5 points above what their goal differential predicts. Getting results that their underlying numbers don't fully justify.
26	Ottawa Senators NHL · 8 pts	8	7▲1	4-1-0	+9		— Neutral 0.9 points above what their goal differential predicts. Getting results that their underlying numbers don't fully justify.
27	San Jose Sharks NHL · 6 pts	18	20▼2	3-2-0	+9		— Neutral 2.0 points above what their goal differential predicts. Getting results that their underlying numbers don't fully justify.
28	Boston Bruins NHL · 8 pts	5	9▼4	4-2-0	+10		— Neutral 1.2 points below what their goal differential predicts. Something beyond the box score is working against them.
29	Tampa Bay Lightning NHL · 8 pts	9	8▲1	4-1-0	+10		— Neutral 1.0 points above what their goal differential predicts. Getting results that their underlying numbers don't fully justify.
30	Winnipeg Jets NHL · 7 pts	13	13	3-1-1	+10		— Neutral 2.3 points above what their goal differential predicts. Getting results that their underlying numbers don't fully justify.
31	Montréal Canadiens NHL · 5 pts	22	24▼2	2-2-1	+14		— Neutral 0.8 points above what their goal differential predicts. Getting results that their underlying numbers don't fully justify.
↑ Lucky
32	Buffalo Sabres NHL · 4 pts	27	28▼1	2-3-0	+16		↑ Lucky 1.3 points above what their goal differential predicts. Getting results that their underlying numbers don't fully justify.