⚽ La Liga Luck Index Rankings

The La Liga Luck Index ranks all 20 Spanish league teams using expected goals (xG) and expected points (xPTS). Which La Liga teams are overperforming? Which are getting robbed? From Barcelona and Real Madrid to the relegation battle, the Luck Index reveals who deserves their position and who doesn't.

RK	Team	Pos	LAS	Record	Luck Index	Trend	Highlight	Share
☠ Cursed
1	Athletic Club La Liga · 38 pts	7	3▲4	11W 5D 13L	-74		☠ Cursed Scored 10 fewer than xG (32 from 41.6 xG). 8.6 pts below expected.
2	Rayo Vallecano La Liga · 35 pts	12	7▲5	8W 11D 11L	-47		☠ Cursed Scored 12 fewer than xG (29 from 40.95 xG). 8.6 pts below expected.
3	Oviedo La Liga · 21 pts	20	20	4W 9D 16L	-43		☠ Cursed Scored 8 fewer than xG (20 from 28.19 xG). 6.7 pts below expected.
4	Valencia La Liga · 35 pts	13	9▲4	9W 8D 12L	-41		☠ Cursed Scored 5 fewer than xG (32 from 37.29 xG). 7.7 pts below expected.
↓ Unlucky
5	Girona La Liga · 34 pts	14	14	8W 10D 11L	-22		↓ Unlucky Scored 6 fewer than xG (31 from 36.67 xG). 0.9 pts below expected.
6	Alaves La Liga · 31 pts	15	13▲2	8W 7D 14L	-21		↓ Unlucky Scored 4 fewer than xG (30 from 34.09 xG). 5.7 pts below expected.
— Neutral
7	Levante La Liga · 26 pts	19	16▲3	6W 8D 15L	-13		— Neutral 6.4 points below expected. Close games going the wrong way.
8	Real Sociedad La Liga · 38 pts	8	10▼2	10W 8D 11L	-2		— Neutral 1.4 points below expected. Close games going the wrong way.
9	Sevilla La Liga · 31 pts	16	19▼3	8W 7D 14L	-2		— Neutral Scored 7 more than xG. Clinical finishing earning 2.3 extra pts.
10	Real Betis La Liga · 44 pts	5	5	11W 11D 7L	-1		— Neutral 2.1 points below expected. Close games going the wrong way.
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11	Espanyol La Liga · 37 pts	10	11▼1	10W 7D 12L	+7		— Neutral 1.3 points below expected. Close games going the wrong way.
12	Getafe La Liga · 38 pts	9	15▼6	11W 5D 13L	+7		— Neutral 5.3 points above expected.
↑ Lucky
13	Mallorca La Liga · 28 pts	18	18	7W 7D 15L	+16		↑ Lucky 1.6 points below expected. Close games going the wrong way.
14	Osasuna La Liga · 37 pts	11	12▼1	10W 7D 12L	+17		↑ Lucky 0.3 points below expected. Close games going the wrong way.
15	Elche La Liga · 29 pts	17	17	6W 11D 13L	+18		↑ Lucky 3.4 points below expected. Close games going the wrong way.
16	Real Madrid La Liga · 69 pts	2	1▲1	22W 3D 4L	+28		↑ Lucky 11.0 points above expected.
17	Celta Vigo La Liga · 41 pts	6	8▼2	10W 11D 8L	+32		↑ Lucky 2.0 points below expected. Close games going the wrong way.
18	Villarreal La Liga · 58 pts	3	6▼3	18W 4D 7L	+35		↑ Lucky Scored 8 more than xG. Clinical finishing earning 12.1 extra pts.
✦ Blessed
19	Barcelona La Liga · 73 pts	1	2▼1	24W 1D 4L	+50		✦ Blessed Scored 5 more than xG. Clinical finishing earning 16.0 extra pts.
20	Atletico Madrid La Liga · 57 pts	4	4	17W 6D 6L	+54		✦ Blessed Scored 4 more than xG. Clinical finishing earning 10.5 extra pts.