Season2025-26
RED

RED Star FC 93 CURSD Luck Score

2025-26 season · 1 match played · View Ligue 1 standings →

-13
CLS Score
8th unluckiest of 20 in the Ligue 1

RED Star FC 93 are getting roughly what they deserve. 0 points vs 1.01 expected - the football gods are neutral on this one.

Data last updated May 1, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC

Key Stats

0
Points
Expected: 1.01
2
Goals Scored
xG: 0
3
Goals Conceded
xGA: 0
1
Points Below Expected
Unlucky gap

CLS Evolution

How the CLS has changed throughout the season

Unluckiest Match
Matchweek 1 · 2026-05-12 · vs Rodez · at home
2-3
Lost at home against Rodez

One of those games where nothing went right. Rodez created almost nothing - just 0 xG - but scored 3 goals. The model valued this match at 1.0 points for RED Star FC 93. They got 0. That's 1.0 points of bad luck in 90 minutes.

Match timeline
14'K. Cabral scores for RED Star FC 93 (assist: D. Durand)
29'I. Balde scores for Rodez (assist: T. Arconte)
61'J. Escartin scores for RED Star FC 93 (assist: K. Cabral)
67'M. Magnin scores for Rodez (assist: N. Galves)
69'W. Younoussa scores for Rodez
90+6'Giovanni Haag (RED Star FC 93) - Red Card
0
xG Created
0
Opp. xG
-1.0
Pts Lost

Individual Games

☠ Unluckiest Matches

MW1 · 2026-05-12 · vs Rodez · Home-1.0 pts
Lost 2-3 home despite 0.0 xG. Expected 1.0 pts, got 0.
Score: 2-3 | xG: 0-0

✦ Luckiest Matches

MW1 · 2026-05-12 · vs Rodez · Home+-1.0 pts
Lost 2-3 home despite 0.0 xG. Expected 1.0 pts, got 0.
Score: 2-3 | xG: 0-0

Core Contributing Factors

What's Driving the CLS

Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.

Injury Burden
Low injury burden (4 player-games missed) - squad depth available
+18.6
Schedule Strength
Faced stronger-than-average opponents - a tough draw
-16.6
Shot Volume Gap
Outshooting opponents but not getting the results to match
-13
xPTS Gap
1 fewer points than xG simulations say they deserve
-2.1
Finishing Luck
Scoring almost exactly at their ? xG - neither clinical nor wasteful
+1.9
Defensive Luck
Conceding almost exactly at the ? xGA opponents generate - no defensive luck either way
-0.9
Discipline
Receiving more cards than opponents - decisions going against them
-0.9
Total CLS-13

Future Outlook

Regression Outlook
No Significant Regression Expected
Last 5: stable|37 games left

Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.

See the odds
Why?

RED Star FC 93 are right where they belong. Their CLS of -13 means results match performance. What you see is what you get.

Next Matches

No upcoming fixtures available