SAI

Saint Etienne CURSD Luck Score

2025-26 season · 1 match played · View Ligue 1 standings →

+28
CLS Score
5th luckiest of 21 in the Ligue 1

Saint Etienne have had fortune smiling on them. The CLS says they're getting more than they deserve based on underlying performance. Not outrageous, but don't be surprised when the wheels start wobbling. Top driver: Schedule Strength (+24.5 CLS impact). Faced weaker-than-average opponents so far

Data last updated May 1, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC

Key Stats

1
Points
Expected: 1.01
0
Goals Scored
xG: 0
0
Goals Conceded
xGA: 0
0
Points Below Expected
Unlucky gap

CLS Evolution

How the CLS has changed throughout the season

Unluckiest Match
Matchweek 1 · 2026-05-26 · vs Nice · at home
0-0
Drew at home against Nice

One of those games where nothing went right. The model valued this match at 1.0 points for Saint Etienne. They got 1. That's 0.0 points of bad luck in 90 minutes.

0
xG Created
0
Opp. xG
-0.0
Pts Lost

Individual Games

☠ Unluckiest Matches

MW1 · 2026-05-26 · vs Nice · Home-0.0 pts
Drew 0-0 home. xG: 0.0-0.0.
Score: 0-0 | xG: 0-0

✦ Luckiest Matches

MW1 · 2026-05-26 · vs Nice · Home+-0.0 pts
Drew 0-0 home. xG: 0.0-0.0.
Score: 0-0 | xG: 0-0

Core Contributing Factors

What's Driving the CLS

Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.

Schedule Strength
Faced weaker-than-average opponents so far
+24.5
Injury Burden
Low injury burden (50 player-games missed) - squad depth available
+10.7
Shot Volume Gap
Outshooting opponents but not getting the results to match
-7.8
Finishing Luck
Scored NaN more goals than their ? xG - clinical finishing
+1.8
Defensive Luck
Conceded NaN more goals than the ? xGA opponents generated
-0.8
xPTS Gap
Almost exactly on expected points (0.0 xPTS gap)
-0.2
Discipline
Receiving more cards than opponents - decisions going against them
-0.2
Total CLS+28

Future Outlook

Regression Outlook
Dip in Form Probable
Last 5: stable|37 games left

Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.

See the odds
Why?

Saint Etienne are riding their luck at +28. They're winning games their underlying numbers don't fully support. The correction hasn't started yet, but historical patterns suggest it's coming.

Next Matches
05-29
A
Nice
Bet