Bournemouth CURSD Luck Score
2026-27 season · 5 matches played · View Premier League standings →
Bournemouth are getting roughly what they deserve. 3 points vs 5.05 expected - the football gods are neutral on this one.
Data last updated May 1, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC
Key Stats
CLS Evolution
How the CLS has changed throughout the season
One of those games where nothing went right. Liverpool created almost nothing - just 0 xG - but scored 1 goal. The model valued this match at 1.0 points for Bournemouth. They got 0. That's 1.0 points of bad luck in 90 minutes.
Individual Games
☠ Unluckiest Matches
✦ Luckiest Matches
Core Contributing Factors
What's Driving the CLS
Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.
Future Outlook
Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.
See the oddsBournemouth are right where they belong. Their CLS of -13 means results match performance. What you see is what you get. Their remaining schedule is moderate (opponents average 11th).
Projected Finish
Projection blends 40% actual points-per-game with 60% expected points-per-game over the 33 games remaining. Heavier weight on xPTS because it strips out finishing variance, defensive luck, and the close-game randomness CURSD already tracks.
Fantasy Outlook
Most-Owned Attackers
| Player | Price | Owned | Goals | xG | Δ | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tavernier MID | £6.1 | 6.9% | 3 | 1.7 | +1.3 | Finishing in line with xG |
| Scott MID | £6.1 | 5.5% | 1 | 0.6 | +0.4 | Finishing in line with xG |
| Evanilson FWD | £6.0 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.9 | -0.9 | Finishing in line with xG |
| Rayan MID | £6.3 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.9 | -0.9 | Finishing in line with xG |
| Kluivert MID | £6.0 | 0.8% | 1 | 1.0 | +0.0 | Finishing in line with xG |
Δ = goals − xG. Positive = overperforming finishing (often unsustainable). Negative = underperforming (often a buy).