COL

Colorado Rapids CURSD Luck Score

2026 Season · View mls standings →

+7
CLS Score

Colorado Rapids are getting roughly what they deserve. 12 points vs 11.86 expected - the football gods are neutral on this one.

Data last updated Oct 20, 2018, 1:46 AM UTC

Key Stats

12
Points
Expected: 11.86
21
Goals Scored
xG: 14.25
15
Goals Conceded
xGA: 10.94
0.1
Points Above Expected
Lucky gap

CLS Evolution

How the CLS has changed throughout the season

Unluckiest Match
Matchweek 8 · 2026-04-18 · vs Inter Miami · at home
2-3
Lost at home against Inter Miami

One of those games where nothing went right. Colorado Rapids generated 1.69 xG, comfortably more than the 1.18 their opponent managed. The model valued this match at 1.7 points for Colorado Rapids. They got 0. That's 1.7 points of bad luck in 90 minutes.

Match timeline
18'L. Messi scores for Inter Miami
45'G. Berterame scores for Inter Miami (assist: M. Silvetti)
58'Rafael Navarro scores for Colorado Rapids (assist: W. Frederick)
62'D. Yapi scores for Colorado Rapids (assist: L. Herrington)
79'L. Messi scores for Inter Miami (assist: R. de Paul)
87'Yannick Bright (Inter Miami) - Red Card
1.69
xG Created
1.18
Opp. xG
-1.7
Pts Lost

Individual Games

☠ Unluckiest Matches

MW8 · 2026-04-18 · vs Inter Miami · Home-1.7 pts
Lost 2-3 home despite 1.7 xG. Expected 1.7 pts, got 0.
Score: 2-3 | xG: 1.69-1.18
MW1 · 2026-02-23 · vs Seattle Sounders · Away-0.9 pts
Lost 0-2 away. xG: 0.6-1.1.
Score: 0-2 | xG: 0.6-1.09
MW4 · 2026-03-14 · vs New York City FC · Away-0.9 pts
Lost 1-3 away. xG: 0.8-1.3.
Score: 1-3 | xG: 0.76-1.34

✦ Luckiest Matches

MW7 · 2026-04-12 · vs Houston Dynamo · Home+1.6 pts
Won 6-2 home from 2.7 xG. Got 3 pts vs 1.4 expected.
Score: 6-2 | xG: 2.72-2.61
MW2 · 2026-02-28 · vs Portland Timbers · Home+1.1 pts
Won 2-0 home from 1.8 xG. Got 3 pts vs 1.9 expected.
Score: 2-0 | xG: 1.83-1.1
MW3 · 2026-03-08 · vs Los Angeles Galaxy · Home+1.1 pts
Won 4-1 home from 1.9 xG. Got 3 pts vs 1.9 expected.
Score: 4-1 | xG: 1.88-1.09

Core Contributing Factors

What's Driving the CLS

Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.

Finishing Luck
Scored 7 more goals than their 14.3 xG - clinical finishing
+9.8
Defensive Luck
Conceded 4 more goals than the 10.9 xGA opponents generated
-3.1
Schedule Strength
Faced stronger-than-average opponents - a tough draw
-1.7
Discipline
Opponents picking up more cards - refereeing luck is on their side
+1.2
Shot Volume Gap
Getting more points than their shot dominance warrants
+0.5
Injury Burden
Low injury burden (41 player-games missed) - squad depth available
+0.3
xPTS Gap
Almost exactly on expected points (0.1 xPTS gap)
0
Total CLS+7

Rank Per Signal

Where Colorado Rapids ranks among mls teams on each signal. #1 = most cursed.

9
Defensive Luck
1
30
-3.1
11
Schedule Strength
1
30
-1.7
14
xPTS Gap
1
30
0
18
Shot Volume Gap
1
30
+0.5
19
Injury Burden
1
30
+0.3
24
Discipline
1
30
+1.2
30
Finishing Luck
1
30
+9.8

Future Outlook

Regression Outlook
No Significant Regression Expected
Last 5: stable|30 games left

Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.

See the odds
Why?

Colorado Rapids are right where they belong. Their CLS of +7 means results match performance. What you see is what you get.

Next Matches

No upcoming fixtures available