DEP

Deportivo La Coruna CURSD Luck Score

2026-27 season · 9 matches played · View La Liga standings →

-2
CLS Score
9th unluckiest of 20 in the La Liga

Deportivo La Coruna are getting roughly what they deserve. 11 points vs 11.57 expected - the football gods are neutral on this one.

Data last updated May 1, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC

Key Stats

11
Points
Expected: 11.57
13
Goals Scored
xG: 10.01
12
Goals Conceded
xGA: 10.3
0.6
Points Below Expected
Unlucky gap

CLS Evolution

How the CLS has changed throughout the season

Unluckiest Match
Matchweek 8 · 2026-10-11 · vs Real Sociedad · away
2-3
Lost away against Real Sociedad

One of those games where nothing went right. Deportivo La Coruna created 2.13 xG worth of chances - enough for roughly 2 goals on an average day. They scored 2. The model valued this match at 1.8 points for Deportivo La Coruna. They got 0. That's 1.8 points of bad luck in 90 minutes.

Match timeline
29'J. Martin scores for Real Sociedad (assist: C. Soler)
34'A. Zakharyan scores for Real Sociedad
54'G. Guedes scores for Real Sociedad (assist: A. Barrenetxea)
61'M. Soriano scores for Deportivo La Coruna (assist: R. Rodriguez)
66'Pablo Marín (Real Sociedad) - Red Card
69'Y. Hernandez scores for Deportivo La Coruna
90'Lorenzo Amatucci (Deportivo La Coruna) - Red Card
2.13
xG Created
1.44
Opp. xG
-1.8
Pts Lost

Individual Games

☠ Unluckiest Matches

MW8 · 2026-10-11 · vs Real Sociedad · Away-1.8 pts
Lost 2-3 away despite 2.1 xG. Expected 1.8 pts, got 0.
Score: 2-3 | xG: 2.13-1.44
MW7 · 2026-09-20 · vs Real Betis · Home-1.2 pts
Drew 1-1 home despite 2.1 xG. Expected 2.2 pts, got 1.
Score: 1-1 | xG: 2.09-0.8
MW6 · 2026-09-16 · vs Sevilla · Home-0.7 pts
Lost 0-1 home. xG: 0.1-0.7.
Score: 0-1 | xG: 0.14-0.73

✦ Luckiest Matches

MW4 · 2026-09-05 · vs Villarreal · Away+1.9 pts
Won 3-2 away from 0.8 xG. Got 3 pts vs 1.1 expected.
Score: 3-2 | xG: 0.79-1.14
MW3 · 2026-08-30 · vs Valencia · Home+1.6 pts
Won 3-1 home from 1.4 xG. Got 3 pts vs 1.4 expected.
Score: 3-1 | xG: 1.42-1.4
MW1 · 2026-08-17 · vs Elche · Home+0.4 pts
Drew 1-1 home. xG: 0.3-1.2.
Score: 1-1 | xG: 0.34-1.23

Core Contributing Factors

What's Driving the CLS

Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.

Finishing Luck
Scored 3 more goals than their 10.0 xG - clinical finishing
+3.6
Schedule Strength
Faced stronger-than-average opponents - a tough draw
-2.6
Defensive Luck
Conceded 2 more goals than the 10.3 xGA opponents generated
-1.4
Discipline
Receiving more cards than opponents - decisions going against them
-1.1
xPTS Gap
0.6 fewer points than xG simulations say they deserve
-0.7
Injury Burden
Low injury burden (40 player-games missed) - squad depth available
+0.7
Shot Volume Gap
Outshooting opponents but not getting the results to match
-0.5
Total CLS-2

Future Outlook

Regression Outlook
No Significant Regression Expected
Last 5: declining|29 games left

Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.

See the odds
Why?

Deportivo La Coruna are right where they belong. Their CLS of -2 means results match performance. What you see is what you get. Their remaining schedule is moderate (opponents average 7th).

Next Matches
10-24
A
Atletico Madrid
Bet
11-02
H
Osasuna
Bet
11-07
A
Espanyol
Bet
11-22
A
Alaves
Bet
11-29
H
Barcelona
Bet