Le Havre CURSD Luck Score
2026-27 season · 2 matches played · View Ligue 1 standings →
-1
CLS Score
8th unluckiest of 18 in the Ligue 1
Le Havre are getting roughly what they deserve. 1 points vs 1.41 expected - the football gods are neutral on this one.
Data last updated May 1, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC
Key Stats
1
Points
Expected: 1.41
1
Goals Scored
xG: 1.29
2
Goals Conceded
xGA: 3.14
0.4
Points Below Expected
Unlucky gap
CLS Evolution
How the CLS has changed throughout the season
Unluckiest Match
Matchweek 1 · 2026-08-23 · vs Monaco · at home
0-1
Lost at home against Monaco
One of those games where nothing went right. The model valued this match at 0.8 points for Le Havre. They got 0. That's 0.8 points of bad luck in 90 minutes.
Match timeline
14'E. Dier scores for Monaco (assist: Nazinho)
0.6
xG Created
1.39
Opp. xG
-0.8
Pts Lost
Individual Games
☠ Unluckiest Matches
MW1 · 2026-08-23 · vs Monaco · Home-0.8 pts
Lost 0-1 home. xG: 0.6-1.4.
Score: 0-1 | xG: 0.6-1.39
MW2 · 2026-08-29 · vs Lyon · Away+0.3 pts
Drew 1-1 away. xG: 0.7-1.8.
Score: 1-1 | xG: 0.69-1.75
✦ Luckiest Matches
MW2 · 2026-08-29 · vs Lyon · Away+0.3 pts
Drew 1-1 away. xG: 0.7-1.8.
Score: 1-1 | xG: 0.69-1.75
MW1 · 2026-08-23 · vs Monaco · Home+-0.8 pts
Lost 0-1 home. xG: 0.6-1.4.
Score: 0-1 | xG: 0.6-1.39
Core Contributing Factors
What's Driving the CLS
Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.
Defensive Luck
Conceded 1 fewer goals than the 3.1 xGA opponents generated
+0.8
Shot Volume Gap
Outshooting opponents but not getting the results to match
-0.8
xPTS Gap
Almost exactly on expected points (0.4 xPTS gap)
-0.5
Discipline
Receiving more cards than opponents - decisions going against them
-0.5
Finishing Luck
Scoring almost exactly at their 1.3 xG - neither clinical nor wasteful
-0.2
Injury Burden
Low injury burden (20 player-games missed) - squad depth available
+0.2
Schedule Strength
Faced stronger-than-average opponents - a tough draw
0
Total CLS-1
Future Outlook
Regression Outlook
No Significant Regression Expected
Last 5: stable|36 games left
Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.
See the oddsWhy?
Le Havre are right where they belong. Their CLS of -1 means results match performance. What you see is what you get. Their remaining schedule is moderate (opponents average 10th).