Season2026
SPO

Sporting Kansas City CURSD Luck Score

2026 season · 14 matches played · View mls standings →

-14
CLS Score
7th unluckiest of 30 in the mls

Sporting Kansas City are getting roughly what they deserve. 11 points vs 10.89 expected - the football gods are neutral on this one.

Data last updated May 1, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC

Key Stats

11
Points
Expected: 10.89
14
Goals Scored
xG: 12.56
36
Goals Conceded
xGA: 30.39
0.1
Points Above Expected
Lucky gap

CLS Evolution

How the CLS has changed throughout the season

Unluckiest Match
Matchweek 14 · 2026-05-24 · vs New York Red Bulls · at home
1-2
Lost at home against New York Red Bulls

One of those games where nothing went right. Sporting Kansas City generated 1.69 xG, comfortably more than the 0.88 their opponent managed. The model valued this match at 1.9 points for Sporting Kansas City. They got 0. That's 1.9 points of bad luck in 90 minutes.

Match timeline
3'J. Ruvalcaba scores for New York Red Bulls (assist: G. Berggren)
45'J. Ruvalcaba scores for New York Red Bulls (assist: J. Hall)
64'C. Harris scores for Sporting Kansas City (assist: M. Garcia)
1.69
xG Created
0.88
Opp. xG
-1.9
Pts Lost

Individual Games

☠ Unluckiest Matches

MW14 · 2026-05-24 · vs New York Red Bulls · Home-1.9 pts
Lost 1-2 home despite 1.7 xG. Expected 1.9 pts, got 0.
Score: 1-2 | xG: 1.69-0.88
MW7 · 2026-04-12 · vs San Jose Earthquakes · Home-0.7 pts
Lost 1-3 home. xG: 0.8-1.7.
Score: 1-3 | xG: 0.78-1.71
MW11 · 2026-05-10 · vs Portland Timbers · Away-0.6 pts
Lost 0-6 away. xG: 0.5-1.5.
Score: 0-6 | xG: 0.49-1.5

✦ Luckiest Matches

MW4 · 2026-03-15 · vs Los Angeles Galaxy · Away+2.4 pts
Won 2-1 away from 0.7 xG. Got 3 pts vs 0.6 expected.
Score: 2-1 | xG: 0.73-2.03
MW12 · 2026-05-14 · vs Los Angeles Galaxy · Home+1.0 pts
Won 3-1 home from 2.0 xG. Got 3 pts vs 2.0 expected.
Score: 3-1 | xG: 2.05-1.14
MW13 · 2026-05-17 · vs Austin · Away+0.8 pts
Won 2-1 away. xG: 1.5-0.4.
Score: 2-1 | xG: 1.52-0.37

Core Contributing Factors

What's Driving the CLS

Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.

Schedule Strength
Faced stronger-than-average opponents - a tough draw
-9.4
Defensive Luck
Conceded 6 more goals than the 30.4 xGA opponents generated
-3.1
Shot Volume Gap
Outshooting opponents but not getting the results to match
-1.5
Finishing Luck
Scored 1 fewer goals than their 12.6 xG - wasting chances
-1.4
Injury Burden
Low injury burden (75 player-games missed) - squad depth available
+1.1
Discipline
Opponents picking up more cards - refereeing luck is on their side
+0.5
xPTS Gap
Almost exactly on expected points (0.1 xPTS gap)
-0.2
Total CLS-14

Future Outlook

Regression Outlook
No Significant Regression Expected
Last 5: stable|24 games left

Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.

See the odds
Why?

Sporting Kansas City are right where they belong. Their CLS of -14 means results match performance. What you see is what you get.

Next Matches

No upcoming fixtures available