SPO

Sporting Kansas City CURSD Luck Score

2026 Season · View mls standings →

-1
CLS Score

Sporting Kansas City are getting roughly what they deserve. 4 points vs 2.9 expected - the football gods are neutral on this one.

Data last updated Oct 20, 2018, 1:46 AM UTC

Key Stats

4
Points
Expected: 2.9
7
Goals Scored
xG: 5.16
20
Goals Conceded
xGA: 21.97
1.1
Points Above Expected
Lucky gap

CLS Evolution

How the CLS has changed throughout the season

Unluckiest Match
Matchweek 7 · 2026-04-12 · vs San Jose Earthquakes · at home
1-3
Lost at home against San Jose Earthquakes

One of those games where nothing went right. The model valued this match at 0.7 points for Sporting Kansas City. They got 0. That's 0.7 points of bad luck in 90 minutes.

Match timeline
27'J. Bartlett scores for Sporting Kansas City
44'J. Skahan scores for San Jose Earthquakes (assist: N. Tsakiris)
49'J. Skahan scores for San Jose Earthquakes
75'D. Romney scores for San Jose Earthquakes (assist: D. Munie)
0.78
xG Created
1.71
Opp. xG
-0.7
Pts Lost

Individual Games

☠ Unluckiest Matches

MW7 · 2026-04-12 · vs San Jose Earthquakes · Home-0.7 pts
Lost 1-3 home. xG: 0.8-1.7.
Score: 1-3 | xG: 0.78-1.71
MW3 · 2026-03-08 · vs San Diego · Home-0.3 pts
Lost 0-1 home. xG: 0.4-2.0.
Score: 0-1 | xG: 0.36-2.02
MW6 · 2026-04-04 · vs Real Salt Lake · Away-0.3 pts
Lost 1-3 away. xG: 0.5-2.5.
Score: 1-3 | xG: 0.48-2.55

✦ Luckiest Matches

MW4 · 2026-03-15 · vs Los Angeles Galaxy · Away+2.4 pts
Won 2-1 away from 0.7 xG. Got 3 pts vs 0.6 expected.
Score: 2-1 | xG: 0.73-2.03
MW2 · 2026-03-01 · vs Columbus Crew · Home+0.4 pts
Drew 2-2 home. xG: 1.5-3.1.
Score: 2-2 | xG: 1.49-3.15
MW8 · 2026-04-18 · vs Vancouver Whitecaps · Away+-0.1 pts
Lost 0-3 away. xG: 0.1-3.2.
Score: 0-3 | xG: 0.13-3.17

Core Contributing Factors

What's Driving the CLS

Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.

Schedule Strength
Faced stronger-than-average opponents - a tough draw
-3.7
Defensive Luck
Conceded 2 fewer goals than the 22.0 xGA opponents generated
+2
xPTS Gap
1 more points than xG simulations predict they deserve
+1.3
Finishing Luck
Scored 2 more goals than their 5.2 xG - clinical finishing
+0.9
Shot Volume Gap
Outshooting opponents but not getting the results to match
-0.8
Injury Burden
High injury burden (47 player-games missed) - key absences hurting
-0.8
Discipline
Opponents picking up more cards - refereeing luck is on their side
+0.1
Total CLS-1

Rank Per Signal

Where Sporting Kansas City ranks among mls teams on each signal. #1 = most cursed.

7
Schedule Strength
1
30
-3.7
10
Shot Volume Gap
1
30
-0.8
13
Injury Burden
1
30
-0.8
15
Discipline
1
30
+0.1
16
xPTS Gap
1
30
+1.3
16
Finishing Luck
1
30
+0.9
21
Defensive Luck
1
30
+2

Future Outlook

Regression Outlook
No Significant Regression Expected
Last 5: stable|30 games left

Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.

See the odds
Why?

Sporting Kansas City are right where they belong. Their CLS of -1 means results match performance. What you see is what you get.

Next Matches

No upcoming fixtures available