Anaheim Ducks

Anaheim Ducks CURSD Luck Score

2025-26 NHL regular season · View NHL standings →

+40
CLS Score
5th luckiest of 32 in the NHL

Ducks have been living on borrowed time. 92 points from 87.4 expected — shootout wins and narrow escapes padding the record. The data says the wheels are overdue to wobble. Top driver: Pythagorean Delta (+31.6 CLS impact). 5 more points than their goal differential predicts

Data last updated May 1, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC

Key Stats

92
Points
Expected: 87.4
273
Goals For
288
Goals Against
4.6
Points Above Expected
Lucky gap

Individual Games

☠ Unluckiest Matches

✦ Luckiest Matches

Core Contributing Factors

What's Driving the CLS

Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.

Pythagorean Delta
5 more points than their goal differential predicts
+31.6
Shootout Record
8-0 in shootouts (net +8)
+30.7
OT Loss Rate
6 OT losses earning loser points - some consolation from OT
-12.6
Injury Burden
High injury burden (15 player-games missed) - key absences hurting
-9.7
Close Games
Not enough one-goal games to measure
0
Total CLS+40

Future Outlook

Regression Outlook
Dip in Form Probable
Last 5: stable|81 games left

Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.

See the odds
Why?

Ducks are riding their luck at +40. They're winning games their underlying numbers don't fully support. The correction hasn't started yet, but historical patterns suggest it's coming. Their next 5 opponents average 22th in the league - a favorable stretch. An easier run might delay the dip, but the numbers say it's coming.

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