Anaheim Ducks CURSD Luck Score
2025-26 NHL regular season · 2 games played · View NHL standings →
+10
CLS Score
4th luckiest of 32 in the NHL
Ducks are getting roughly what their play deserves. 4 points vs 2.9 expected — neutral on the luck scale.
Data last updated May 1, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC
Key Stats
4
Points
Expected: 2.9
7
Goals For
5
Goals Against
1.1
Points Above Expected
Lucky gap
CLS Evolution
How the CLS has changed throughout the season
Individual Games
☠ Unluckiest Matches
✦ Luckiest Matches
Gm1 · 2026-10-02 · vs Golden Knights · Away+0.9 pts
Edged Vegas Golden Knights 4-3. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 4-3
Gm2 · 2026-10-04 · vs Panthers · Home+0.8 pts
Edged Florida Panthers 3-2 in OT/SO. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 3-2
Core Contributing Factors
What's Driving the CLS
Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.
Pythagorean Delta
1 more points than their goal differential predicts
+5.5
Close Games
2-0 in one-goal games (100% win rate vs expected 50%)
+5.3
OT Loss Rate
No OT losses - losing in regulation when they lose
-1
Injury Burden
High injury burden (9 player-games missed) - key absences hurting
+0.2
Shootout Record
0-0 in shootouts (net 0)
0
Total CLS+10
Rivalry Check
How are the rivals doing?
Future Outlook
Regression Outlook
No Significant Regression Expected
Last 5: stable|80 games left
Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.
See the oddsWhy?
Ducks are right where they belong. Their CLS of +10 means results match performance. What you see is what you get. Their remaining schedule is moderate (opponents average 19th).