Anaheim Ducks

Anaheim Ducks CURSD Luck Score

2025-26 NHL Season · View NHL standings →

+56
CLS Score

Anaheim Ducks have been living on borrowed time. 92 points from 87.4 expected — shootout wins and narrow escapes padding the record. The data says the wheels are overdue to wobble.

Data last updated Oct 20, 2018, 1:46 AM UTC

Key Stats

92
Points
Expected: 87.4
273
Goals For
288
Goals Against
4.6
Points Above Expected
Lucky gap

CLS Evolution

How the CLS has changed throughout the season

Unluckiest Match
Matchweek 8 · 2025-10-25 · vs Tampa Bay Lightning · away
3-4
Lost away against Tampa Bay Lightning

Lost 3-4 against Tampa Bay Lightning. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.

3
Goals
4
Opp. Goals
-0.9
Pts Lost

Individual Games

☠ Unluckiest Matches

MW8 · 2025-10-25 · vs Tampa Bay Lightning · Away-0.9 pts
Lost 3-4 against Tampa Bay Lightning. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 3-4
MW23 · 2025-11-26 · vs Vancouver Canucks · Home-0.9 pts
Lost 4-5 against Vancouver Canucks. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 4-5
MW39 · 2025-12-29 · vs San Jose Sharks · Home-0.9 pts
Lost 4-5 against San Jose Sharks. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 4-5

✦ Luckiest Matches

MW82 · 2026-04-16 · vs Nashville Predators · Away+0.9 pts
Edged Nashville Predators 5-4. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 5-4
MW70 · 2026-03-22 · vs Buffalo Sabres · Home+0.9 pts
Edged Buffalo Sabres 6-5 in OT/SO. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 6-5
MW67 · 2026-03-15 · vs Montréal Canadiens · Away+0.9 pts
Edged Montréal Canadiens 4-3. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 4-3

Core Contributing Factors

What's Driving the CLS

Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.

Pythagorean Delta
5 more points than their goal differential predicts
+23.1
Shootout Record
8-0 in shootouts (net +8)
+22.4
Close Games
24-13 in one-goal games (65% win rate vs expected 50%)
+18.1
OT Loss Rate
6 OT losses earning loser points - some consolation from OT
-9.2
Injury Burden
High injury burden (252 player-games missed) - key absences hurting
+1.6
Total CLS+56

Rank Per Signal

Where Anaheim Ducks ranks among NHL teams on each signal. #1 = most cursed.

6
OT Loss Rate
1
32
-9.2
17
Injury Burden
1
32
+1.6
29
Pythagorean Delta
1
32
+23.1
30
Close Games
1
32
+18.1
32
Shootout Record
1
32
+22.4

Future Outlook

Regression Outlook
Results Expected to Decline
Last 5: stable

Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.

See the odds
Why?

At +56, Anaheim Ducks are living on borrowed time. This level of overperformance is historically unsustainable. The gap between their results and their actual quality is too large to maintain.

Next Matches

No upcoming fixtures available