San Jose Sharks CURSD Luck Score
2025-26 NHL regular season · 6 games played · View NHL standings →
+12
CLS Score
4th luckiest of 32 in the NHL
Sharks are getting roughly what their play deserves. 6 points vs 4.3 expected — neutral on the luck scale.
Data last updated May 1, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC
Key Stats
6
Points
Expected: 4.3
16
Goals For
23
Goals Against
1.7
Points Above Expected
Lucky gap
CLS Evolution
How the CLS has changed throughout the season
Unluckiest Match
Game 6 · 2026-10-13 · vs Bruins · at home
6-3
Lost at home against Bruins
Blown out by Boston Bruins 3-6. Tough night.
3
Goals
6
Opp. Goals
-0.7
Win Equity Lost
Individual Games
☠ Unluckiest Matches
Gm6 · 2026-10-13 · vs Bruins · Home-0.7 pts
Blown out by Boston Bruins 3-6. Tough night.
Score: 3-6
Gm5 · 2026-10-10 · vs Oilers · Home-0.5 pts
Lost to Edmonton Oilers 1-3.
Score: 1-3
✦ Luckiest Matches
Gm2 · 2026-10-03 · vs Kings · Home+0.9 pts
Edged Los Angeles Kings 5-4 in OT/SO. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 5-4
Gm1 · 2026-10-01 · vs Panthers · Home+0.9 pts
Edged Florida Panthers 4-3 in OT/SO. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 4-3
Gm4 · 2026-10-08 · vs Blues · Away+0.8 pts
Edged St. Louis Blues 3-2 in OT/SO. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 3-2
Core Contributing Factors
What's Driving the CLS
Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.
Pythagorean Delta
2 more points than their goal differential predicts
+8.4
Close Games
3-0 in one-goal games (100% win rate vs expected 50%)
+5.6
OT Loss Rate
No OT losses - losing in regulation when they lose
-1.8
Injury Burden
High injury burden (13 player-games missed) - key absences hurting
-0.2
Shootout Record
0-0 in shootouts (net 0)
0
Total CLS+12
Rivalry Check
How are the rivals doing?
Future Outlook
Regression Outlook
No Significant Regression Expected
Last 5: stable|76 games left
Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.
See the oddsWhy?
Sharks are right where they belong. Their CLS of +12 means results match performance. What you see is what you get. Their remaining schedule is moderate (opponents average 18th).