San Jose Sharks CURSD Luck Score
2025-26 NHL regular season · View NHL standings →
+46
CLS Score
2nd luckiest of 32 in the NHL
Sharks have been living on borrowed time. 86 points from 78.5 expected — shootout wins and narrow escapes padding the record. The data says the wheels are overdue to wobble. Top driver: Pythagorean Delta (+50.8 CLS impact). 8 more points than their goal differential predicts
Data last updated May 1, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC
Key Stats
86
Points
Expected: 78.5
251
Goals For
292
Goals Against
7.5
Points Above Expected
Lucky gap
Individual Games
☠ Unluckiest Matches
✦ Luckiest Matches
Core Contributing Factors
What's Driving the CLS
Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.
Pythagorean Delta
8 more points than their goal differential predicts
+50.8
OT Loss Rate
8 OT losses earning loser points - some consolation from OT
-8.3
Injury Burden
High injury burden (6 player-games missed) - key absences hurting
+3.7
Shootout Record
2-2 in shootouts (net 0)
-0.2
Close Games
Not enough one-goal games to measure
0
Total CLS+46
Rivalry Check
How are the rivals doing?
Future Outlook
Regression Outlook
Results Expected to Decline
Last 5: stable|81 games left
Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.
See the oddsWhy?
At +46, Sharks are living on borrowed time. This level of overperformance is historically unsustainable. The gap between their results and their actual quality is too large to maintain.