San Jose Sharks CURSD Luck Score
2025-26 NHL regular season · 3 games played · View NHL standings →
+11
CLS Score
3rd luckiest of 32 in the NHL
Sharks are getting roughly what their play deserves. 4 points vs 2.4 expected — neutral on the luck scale.
Data last updated May 1, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC
Key Stats
4
Points
Expected: 2.4
9
Goals For
12
Goals Against
1.6
Points Above Expected
Lucky gap
CLS Evolution
How the CLS has changed throughout the season
Individual Games
☠ Unluckiest Matches
✦ Luckiest Matches
Gm2 · 2026-10-03 · vs Kings · Home+0.9 pts
Edged Los Angeles Kings 5-4 in OT/SO. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 5-4
Gm1 · 2026-10-01 · vs Panthers · Home+0.9 pts
Edged Florida Panthers 4-3 in OT/SO. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 4-3
Core Contributing Factors
What's Driving the CLS
Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.
Pythagorean Delta
2 more points than their goal differential predicts
+8
Close Games
2-0 in one-goal games (100% win rate vs expected 50%)
+5.3
Injury Burden
High injury burden (16 player-games missed) - key absences hurting
-1.3
OT Loss Rate
No OT losses - losing in regulation when they lose
-1
Shootout Record
0-0 in shootouts (net 0)
0
Total CLS+11
Rivalry Check
How are the rivals doing?
Future Outlook
Regression Outlook
No Significant Regression Expected
Last 5: stable|79 games left
Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.
See the oddsWhy?
Sharks are right where they belong. Their CLS of +11 means results match performance. What you see is what you get. Their remaining schedule is moderate (opponents average 19th).