Angels

Angels CURSD Luck Score

2026 MLB regular season · 162 games played · View MLB standings →

-50
CLS Score
3rd unluckiest of 30 in the MLB

Angels are cursed by baseball's most unforgiving luck signal: one-run games. 62 wins from 70.8 expected by Pythagorean run differential. They're outscoring opponents overall but losing the sequencing — tight games, bunched innings, BABIP variance. The regression is coming, and it usually comes fast. Top driver: Pythagorean Delta (-28.2 CLS impact). 9 fewer wins than their run differential predicts

Data last updated May 1, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC

Key Stats

62
Wins
Expected: 70.8
655
Runs Scored
752
Runs Allowed
8.8
Wins Below Expected
Unlucky gap

CLS Evolution

How the CLS has changed throughout the season

Unluckiest Match
Game 17 · 2026-04-13 · vs Yankees · away
11-10
Lost away against Yankees

Lost 10-11 to Yankees (12-14 H). A one-run margin where sequencing decided the outcome.

10
Runs
11
Opp. Runs
-0.5
Win Equity Lost

Individual Games

☠ Unluckiest Matches

Gm17 · 2026-04-13 · vs Yankees · Away-0.5 pts
Lost 10-11 to Yankees (12-14 H). A one-run margin where sequencing decided the outcome.
Score: 10-11
Gm77 · 2026-06-19 · vs Athletics · Away-0.5 pts
Fell 11-12 to Athletics in 10 innings (11-12 H). Couldn't find the clutch hit in extras.
Score: 11-12
Gm3 · 2026-03-28 · vs Astros · Away-0.4 pts
Lost 9-11 to Astros. 3 errors turned a competitive game into a loss.
Score: 9-11

✦ Luckiest Matches

Gm160 · 2026-09-25 · vs Mariners · Away+0.4 pts
Beat Mariners 7-5 (10-7 H). Solid win backed by the underlying numbers.
Score: 7-5
Gm155 · 2026-09-19 · vs Twins · Home+0.4 pts
Won 6-5 in 11 innings against Twins (11-11 H). Found the walk-off moment in extras.
Score: 6-5
Gm153 · 2026-09-17 · vs Twins · Home+0.4 pts
Won 5-4 in 10 innings against Twins (8-10 H). Found the walk-off moment in extras. Read match report →
Score: 5-4

Core Contributing Factors

What's Driving the CLS

Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.

Pythagorean Delta
9 fewer wins than their run differential predicts
-28.2
One-Run Game Record
19-29 in one-run games (40% — below the .500 norm where teams historically regress, bad sequencing luck)
-15.2
Batting Luck
wOBA 0.302 vs xwOBA 0.303 - hard contact not converting into hits
-5.4
Pitching Luck
ERA 4.46 vs xERA 4.45 - pitchers allowing more runs than contact quality suggests
-2.3
Injury Burden
High injury burden (10 player-games missed) - key absences hurting
+1.1
Total CLS-50

Future Outlook

Regression Outlook
Results Expected to Improve
Last 5: stable

Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.

See the odds
Why?

Angels are deeply cursed at -50. This level of underperformance almost never persists. The data they're generating - the chances created, the shots taken, the defensive work - all point to a team better than their record. Regression to the mean is one of the most reliable forces in sports.

Next Matches

No upcoming fixtures available