Angels CURSD Luck Score
2026 MLB Season · View MLB standings →
-6
CLS Score
Angels are getting what their run differential deserves. 11 wins vs 12.8 expected — the baseball gods are neutral.
Data last updated Oct 20, 2018, 1:46 AM UTC
Key Stats
11
Wins
Expected: 12.8
117
Runs Scored
109
Runs Allowed
1.8
Wins Below Expected
Unlucky gap
CLS Evolution
How the CLS has changed throughout the season
Unluckiest Match
Matchweek 17 · 2026-04-13 · vs Yankees · away
10-11
Lost away against Yankees
Lost 10-11 to Yankees. A one-run game that could have gone either way.
10
Runs
11
Opp. Runs
-0.5
Pts Lost
Individual Games
☠ Unluckiest Matches
MW17 · 2026-04-13 · vs Yankees · Away-0.5 pts
Lost 10-11 to Yankees. A one-run game that could have gone either way.
Score: 10-11
MW3 · 2026-03-28 · vs Astros · Away-0.4 pts
Lost to Astros 9-11.
Score: 9-11
MW4 · 2026-03-29 · vs Astros · Away-0.4 pts
Lost to Astros 7-9.
Score: 7-9
✦ Luckiest Matches
MW10 · 2026-04-05 · vs Mariners · Home+0.4 pts
Edged Mariners 8-7 in 11 innings. The slimmest of margins.
Score: 8-7
MW16 · 2026-04-12 · vs Reds · Away+0.3 pts
Beat Reds 9-6.
Score: 9-6
MW20 · 2026-04-16 · vs Yankees · Away+0.1 pts
Blew out Yankees 11-4. A dominant performance.
Score: 11-4
Core Contributing Factors
What's Driving the CLS
Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.
Pythagorean Delta
2 fewer wins than their run differential predicts
-9.1
Batting Luck
wOBA 0.337 vs xwOBA 0.326 - batters outperforming their contact quality
+3.1
One-Run Game Record
2-3 in one-run games (40% — below the .500 norm where teams historically regress, bad sequencing luck)
-1.9
Injury Burden
High injury burden (8 player-games missed) - key absences hurting
+1.9
Pitching Luck
ERA 3.58 vs xERA 3.79 - pitchers suppressing runs beyond what contact quality predicts
0
Total CLS-6
Rank Per Signal
Where Angels ranks among MLB teams on each signal. #1 = most cursed.
3-9.1
Pythagorean Delta
1
30
11-1.9
One-Run Game Record
1
30
120
Pitching Luck
1
30
24+1.9
Injury Burden
1
30
27+3.1
Batting Luck
1
30
Rivalry Check
How are the rivals doing?
Future Outlook
Regression Outlook
No Significant Regression Expected
Last 5: stable|138 games left
Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.
See the oddsWhy?
Angels are right where they belong. Their CLS of -6 means results match performance. What you see is what you get. Their next 5 opponents average 28th in the league - a favorable stretch.