Athletics

Athletics CURSD Luck Score

2026 MLB Season · View MLB standings →

+17
CLS Score

Athletics have had the baseball gods smiling slightly. A bit above where their run differential says they should be. Nothing outrageous, but the margins have mostly fallen their way.

Data last updated Oct 20, 2018, 1:46 AM UTC

Key Stats

12
Wins
Expected: 9.8
97
Runs Scored
114
Runs Allowed
2.2
Wins Above Expected
Lucky gap

CLS Evolution

How the CLS has changed throughout the season

Unluckiest Match
Matchweek 2 · 2026-03-28 · vs Blue Jays · away
7-8
Lost away against Blue Jays

Lost 7-8 in 11 innings to Blue Jays. A one-run game that could have gone either way.

7
Runs
8
Opp. Runs
-0.4
Pts Lost

Individual Games

☠ Unluckiest Matches

MW2 · 2026-03-28 · vs Blue Jays · Away-0.4 pts
Lost 7-8 in 11 innings to Blue Jays. A one-run game that could have gone either way.
Score: 7-8
MW1 · 2026-03-27 · vs Blue Jays · Away-0.3 pts
Lost 2-3 to Blue Jays. A one-run game that could have gone either way.
Score: 2-3
MW10 · 2026-04-07 · vs Yankees · Away-0.3 pts
Lost to Yankees 3-5.
Score: 3-5

✦ Luckiest Matches

MW21 · 2026-04-18 · vs White Sox · Home+0.4 pts
Edged White Sox 7-6 in 11 innings. The slimmest of margins.
Score: 7-6
MW18 · 2026-04-15 · vs Rangers · Home+0.4 pts
Edged Rangers 6-5. The slimmest of margins.
Score: 6-5
MW9 · 2026-04-05 · vs Astros · Home+0.4 pts
Outlasted Astros 12-10 in 10 innings. Extra baseball went their way.
Score: 12-10

Core Contributing Factors

What's Driving the CLS

Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.

Pythagorean Delta
2 more wins than their run differential predicts
+10.5
One-Run Game Record
6-2 in one-run games (75% — above the historical .500 norm, riding sequencing luck)
+5.7
Injury Burden
High injury burden (2 player-games missed) - key absences hurting
+4.4
Pitching Luck
ERA 5.20 vs xERA 4.58 - pitchers allowing more runs than contact quality suggests
-3.5
Batting Luck
wOBA 0.321 vs xwOBA 0.326 - hard contact not converting into hits
-0.1
Total CLS+17

Rank Per Signal

Where Athletics ranks among MLB teams on each signal. #1 = most cursed.

3
Pitching Luck
1
30
-3.5
12
Batting Luck
1
30
-0.1
27
Pythagorean Delta
1
30
+10.5
27
One-Run Game Record
1
30
+5.7
30
Injury Burden
1
30
+4.4

Future Outlook

Regression Outlook
Dip in Form Probable
Last 5: stable|139 games left

Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.

See the odds
Why?

Athletics are riding their luck at +17. They're winning games their underlying numbers don't fully support. The correction hasn't started yet, but historical patterns suggest it's coming.

Next Matches
04-21
A
Mariners
Bet
04-22
A
Mariners
Bet
04-24
A
Rangers
Bet
04-25
A
Rangers
Bet
04-26
A
Rangers
Bet