Dodgers

Dodgers CURSD Luck Score

2026 MLB regular season · 163 games played · View MLB standings →

-2
CLS Score
14th unluckiest of 30 in the MLB

Dodgers are getting what their run differential deserves. 100 wins vs 101.9 expected — the baseball gods are neutral.

Data last updated May 1, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC

Key Stats

100
Wins
Expected: 101.9
801
Runs Scored
600
Runs Allowed
1.9
Wins Below Expected
Unlucky gap

CLS Evolution

How the CLS has changed throughout the season

Unluckiest Match
Game 99 · 2026-07-18 · vs Yankees · away
0-0
Lost away against Yankees

Shut out by Yankees 0-0. Held to 0 hits - offense went silent.

0
Runs
0
Opp. Runs
-0.5
Win Equity Lost

Individual Games

☠ Unluckiest Matches

Gm99 · 2026-07-18 · vs Yankees · Away-0.5 pts
Shut out by Yankees 0-0. Held to 0 hits - offense went silent.
Score: 0-0
Gm12 · 2026-04-08 · vs Blue Jays · Away-0.4 pts
Lost 3-4 to Blue Jays. Left 11 runners on base - the opportunities were there but couldn't cash in.
Score: 3-4
Gm20 · 2026-04-18 · vs Rockies · Away-0.4 pts
Lost 3-4 to Rockies (8-7 H). A one-run margin where sequencing decided the outcome.
Score: 3-4

✦ Luckiest Matches

Gm162 · 2026-09-26 · vs Giants · Away+0.4 pts
Won 4-3 against Giants (9-9 H). Tight game that could have tipped either way.
Score: 4-3
Gm144 · 2026-09-06 · vs Nationals · Home+0.4 pts
Beat Nationals 7-5 (10-9 H). Solid win backed by the underlying numbers.
Score: 7-5
Gm143 · 2026-09-05 · vs Nationals · Home+0.4 pts
Won 6-5 against Nationals (7-9 H). Tight game that could have tipped either way.
Score: 6-5

Core Contributing Factors

What's Driving the CLS

Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.

Batting Luck
wOBA 0.332 vs xwOBA 0.337 - hard contact not converting into hits
-10.1
One-Run Game Record
31-23 in one-run games (57% — above the historical .500 norm, riding sequencing luck)
+9.1
Pythagorean Delta
2 fewer wins than their run differential predicts
-4.4
Injury Burden
High injury burden (8 player-games missed) - key absences hurting
+2.9
Pitching Luck
ERA 3.61 vs xERA 3.67 - pitchers suppressing runs beyond what contact quality predicts
+0.5
Total CLS-2

Future Outlook

Regression Outlook
No Significant Regression Expected
Last 5: stable

Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.

See the odds
Why?

Dodgers are right where they belong. Their CLS of -2 means results match performance. What you see is what you get.

Next Matches

No upcoming fixtures available