Dodgers CURSD Luck Score
2026 MLB Season · View MLB standings →
+6
CLS Score
Dodgers are getting what their run differential deserves. 16 wins vs 16.2 expected — the baseball gods are neutral.
Data last updated Oct 20, 2018, 1:46 AM UTC
Key Stats
16
Wins
Expected: 16.2
133
Runs Scored
76
Runs Allowed
0.2
Wins Below Expected
Unlucky gap
CLS Evolution
How the CLS has changed throughout the season
Unluckiest Match
Matchweek 12 · 2026-04-08 · vs Blue Jays · away
3-4
Lost away against Blue Jays
Lost 3-4 to Blue Jays. A one-run game that could have gone either way.
3
Runs
4
Opp. Runs
-0.4
Pts Lost
Individual Games
☠ Unluckiest Matches
MW12 · 2026-04-08 · vs Blue Jays · Away-0.4 pts
Lost 3-4 to Blue Jays. A one-run game that could have gone either way.
Score: 3-4
MW20 · 2026-04-18 · vs Rockies · Away-0.4 pts
Lost 3-4 to Rockies. A one-run game that could have gone either way.
Score: 3-4
MW21 · 2026-04-19 · vs Rockies · Away-0.3 pts
Lost to Rockies 6-9.
Score: 6-9
✦ Luckiest Matches
MW13 · 2026-04-10 · vs Rangers · Home+0.4 pts
Edged Rangers 8-7. The slimmest of margins.
Score: 8-7
MW9 · 2026-04-05 · vs Nationals · Away+0.4 pts
Beat Nationals 8-6.
Score: 8-6
MW2 · 2026-03-27 · vs D-backs · Home+0.4 pts
Edged D-backs 5-4. The slimmest of margins.
Score: 5-4
Core Contributing Factors
What's Driving the CLS
Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.
One-Run Game Record
4-2 in one-run games (67% — above the historical .500 norm, riding sequencing luck)
+3.6
Batting Luck
wOBA 0.387 vs xwOBA 0.373 - batters outperforming their contact quality
+3.6
Pythagorean Delta
0 more wins than their run differential predicts
-1.1
Injury Burden
High injury burden (14 player-games missed) - key absences hurting
-0.8
Pitching Luck
ERA 3.29 vs xERA 3.67 - pitchers suppressing runs beyond what contact quality predicts
+0.7
Total CLS+6
Rank Per Signal
Where Dodgers ranks among MLB teams on each signal. #1 = most cursed.
8-0.8
Injury Burden
1
30
16-1.1
Pythagorean Delta
1
30
18+0.7
Pitching Luck
1
30
24+3.6
One-Run Game Record
1
30
29+3.6
Batting Luck
1
30
Rivalry Check
How are the rivals doing?
Future Outlook
Regression Outlook
No Significant Regression Expected
Last 5: stable|140 games left
Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.
See the oddsWhy?
Dodgers are right where they belong. Their CLS of +6 means results match performance. What you see is what you get. Their remaining schedule is moderate (opponents average 18th).