Atlanta Hawks

Atlanta Hawks CURSD Luck Score

2025-26 NBA Season · View NBA standings →

+6
CLS Score

Atlanta Hawks are getting roughly what their point differential says they deserve. 46 wins vs 45 expected — neutral territory.

Data last updated Oct 20, 2018, 1:46 AM UTC

Key Stats

46
Wins
Expected: 45
9714
Points For
9516
Points Against
1
Wins Above Expected
Lucky gap

CLS Evolution

How the CLS has changed throughout the season

Unluckiest Match
Matchweek 16 · 2025-11-21 · vs San Antonio Spurs · away
126-135
Lost away against San Antonio Spurs

Lost 126-135 to San Antonio Spurs despite winning the efficiency battle 68% to 62% eFG. The better-shooting team didn't get the result.

67.8%
Team eFG%
62.1%
Opp. eFG%
-0.7
Pts Lost

Individual Games

☠ Unluckiest Matches

MW16 · 2025-11-21 · vs San Antonio Spurs · Away-0.7 pts
Lost 126-135 to San Antonio Spurs despite winning the efficiency battle 68% to 62% eFG. The better-shooting team didn't get the result.
Score: 126-135 | eFG%: 67.8-62.1
MW22 · 2025-12-02 · vs Detroit Pistons · Away-0.7 pts
Lost 98-99 to Detroit Pistons shooting just 51% eFG (-4.8 below season avg). Couldn't buy a bucket.
Score: 98-99 | eFG%: 50.6-47.1
MW33 · 2025-12-28 · vs New York Knicks · Home-0.7 pts
Lost 125-128 to New York Knicks in a 3-point game. Shooting was roughly neutral on both sides; the game turned on the final possessions.
Score: 125-128 | eFG%: 57.9-53.2

✦ Luckiest Matches

MW66 · 2026-03-12 · vs Brooklyn Nets · Home+0.8 pts
Stole it from Brooklyn Nets 108-97 despite being outshot 46% to 56% eFG. Brooklyn Nets were the more efficient team but couldn't close it out.
Score: 108-97 | eFG%: 46.1-55.6
MW60 · 2026-02-25 · vs Washington Wizards · Home+0.7 pts
Stole it from Washington Wizards 119-98 despite being outshot 45% to 50% eFG. Washington Wizards were the more efficient team but couldn't close it out.
Score: 119-98 | eFG%: 44.9-50
MW25 · 2025-12-07 · vs Washington Wizards · Away+0.6 pts
Beat Washington Wizards 131-116 on hot shooting (60% eFG, +4.3 above season average).
Score: 131-116 | eFG%: 59.7-61.9

Core Contributing Factors

What's Driving the CLS

Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.

Pythagorean Delta
1 more wins than their point differential predicts (garbage-time-adjusted)
+8.2
Injury Burden
High injury burden (206 player-games missed) - stars and rotation pieces sidelined
-2.2
Total CLS+6

Rank Per Signal

Where Atlanta Hawks ranks among NBA teams on each signal. #1 = most cursed.

11
Injury Burden
1
30
-2.2
17
Pythagorean Delta
1
30
+8.2

Tank Watch

Competing (0/100)

Atlanta Hawks have been consistently poor all season, but there's no second-half decline. Bad, not tanking.

First Half
20-22
0.5% win rate
Second Half
27-15
0.6% win rate
Win rate decline
-0pp
Close game collapse
0pp
Point differential decline
-5.7pts/game
Late losing streaks
0 losing streaks
Roster turnover (2H)
38%
View full NBA Tank Score rankings →

Future Outlook

Regression Outlook
No Significant Regression Expected
Last 5: stable

Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.

See the odds
Why?

Atlanta Hawks are right where they belong. Their CLS of +6 means results match performance. What you see is what you get.

Next Matches

No upcoming fixtures available