Boston Celtics

Boston Celtics CURSD Luck Score

2025-26 NBA regular season · 82 games played · View NBA standings →

-1
CLS Score
11th unluckiest of 30 in the NBA

Celtics are getting roughly what the data says they deserve. 0 wins vs 54.2 expected — neutral territory across the model's 8 signals (Pythagorean, close-game record, three-point variance, two-point variance, opponent free throws, and shot quality on both ends).

Data last updated May 1, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC

Key Stats

0
Wins
Expected: 54.2
0
Points For
0
Points Against
54.2
Wins Below Expected
Unlucky gap

CLS Evolution

How the CLS has changed throughout the season

Unluckiest Match
Game 2 · 2025-10-24 · vs Knicks · away
105-95
Lost away against Knicks

Lost to New York Knicks 95-105. Shot 52% eFG vs their 48%.

51.8%
Team eFG%
48.3%
Opp. eFG%
-0.7
Win Equity Lost

Individual Games

☠ Unluckiest Matches

Gm2 · 2025-10-24 · vs Knicks · Away-0.7 pts
Lost to New York Knicks 95-105. Shot 52% eFG vs their 48%.
Score: 95-105 | eFG%: 51.8-48.3
Gm3 · 2025-10-26 · vs Pistons · Away-0.7 pts
Lost 113-119 to Detroit Pistons shooting just 51% eFG (-4.8 below season avg). Couldn't buy a bucket.
Score: 113-119 | eFG%: 50.5-46.8
Gm38 · 2026-01-11 · vs Spurs · Home-0.7 pts
Lost 95-100 to San Antonio Spurs shooting just 49% eFG (-5.9 below season avg). Couldn't buy a bucket.
Score: 95-100 | eFG%: 49.5-45.3

✦ Luckiest Matches

Gm35 · 2026-01-06 · vs Bulls · Home+0.7 pts
Beat Chicago Bulls 115-101. Shot 50% eFG vs their 53%.
Score: 115-101 | eFG%: 50-53.5
Gm6 · 2025-10-31 · vs 76ers · Away+0.7 pts
Stole it from Philadelphia 76ers 109-108 despite being outshot 50% to 56% eFG. Philadelphia 76ers were the more efficient team but couldn't close it out.
Score: 109-108 | eFG%: 50.5-55.8
Gm70 · 2026-03-21 · vs Grizzlies · Away+0.6 pts
Beat Memphis Grizzlies 117-112. Shot 51% eFG vs their 54%.
Score: 117-112 | eFG%: 51.1-54.4

Core Contributing Factors

What's Driving the CLS

Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.

Pythagorean Delta
54 fewer wins than their point differential predicts (garbage-time-adjusted)
-4.2
Injury Burden
No injury data available
+1.4
Def 2P Luck
Opponents made 153 fewer 2s than league-avg would predict (51.1% vs league)
+0.8
Off 3P Luck
Made 25 more threes than league-avg 3P% on their volume would predict (36.7% vs league)
+0.5
Opp FT Luck
Opponents shot 77.5% FT vs league average — 14 misses in their favour (pure luck, defense has no control)
+0.3
Off 2P Luck
Made 20 more 2s than league-avg 2P% on their volume predicts (55.5% vs league)
+0.1
Def 3P Luck
Opponents made 5 fewer threes than league-avg would predict (35.8% vs league) — defensive 3P variance in their favour
+0.1
Close Game Record
Not enough close game data
0
Total CLS-1

Future Outlook

Regression Outlook
No Significant Regression Expected
Last 5: stable

Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.

See the odds
Why?

Celtics are right where they belong. Their CLS of -1 means results match performance. What you see is what you get.

Next Matches

No upcoming fixtures available