Boston Celtics

Boston Celtics CURSD Luck Score

2025-26 NBA Season · View NBA standings →

+15
CLS Score

Boston Celtics are getting roughly what their point differential says they deserve. 56 wins vs 54.5 expected — neutral territory.

Data last updated Oct 20, 2018, 1:46 AM UTC

Key Stats

56
Wins
Expected: 54.5
9418
Points For
8787
Points Against
1.5
Wins Above Expected
Lucky gap

CLS Evolution

How the CLS has changed throughout the season

Unluckiest Match
Matchweek 2 · 2025-10-24 · vs New York Knicks · away
95-105
Lost away against New York Knicks

Lost to New York Knicks 95-105. Shot 52% eFG vs their 48%.

51.8%
Team eFG%
48.3%
Opp. eFG%
-0.7
Pts Lost

Individual Games

☠ Unluckiest Matches

MW2 · 2025-10-24 · vs New York Knicks · Away-0.7 pts
Lost to New York Knicks 95-105. Shot 52% eFG vs their 48%.
Score: 95-105 | eFG%: 51.8-48.3
MW3 · 2025-10-26 · vs Detroit Pistons · Away-0.7 pts
Lost 113-119 to Detroit Pistons shooting just 51% eFG (-4.9 below season avg). Couldn't buy a bucket.
Score: 113-119 | eFG%: 50.5-46.8
MW38 · 2026-01-11 · vs San Antonio Spurs · Home-0.7 pts
Lost 95-100 to San Antonio Spurs shooting just 49% eFG (-5.9 below season avg). Couldn't buy a bucket.
Score: 95-100 | eFG%: 49.5-45.3

✦ Luckiest Matches

MW35 · 2026-01-06 · vs Chicago Bulls · Home+0.7 pts
Beat Chicago Bulls 115-101. Shot 50% eFG vs their 53%.
Score: 115-101 | eFG%: 50-53.5
MW6 · 2025-10-31 · vs Philadelphia 76ers · Away+0.7 pts
Stole it from Philadelphia 76ers 109-108 despite being outshot 50% to 56% eFG. Philadelphia 76ers were the more efficient team but couldn't close it out.
Score: 109-108 | eFG%: 50.5-55.8
MW70 · 2026-03-21 · vs Memphis Grizzlies · Away+0.6 pts
Beat Memphis Grizzlies 117-112. Shot 51% eFG vs their 54%.
Score: 117-112 | eFG%: 51.1-54.4

Core Contributing Factors

What's Driving the CLS

Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.

Pythagorean Delta
2 more wins than their point differential predicts (garbage-time-adjusted)
+11.6
Injury Burden
High injury burden (139 player-games missed) - stars and rotation pieces sidelined
+3.4
Total CLS+15

Rank Per Signal

Where Boston Celtics ranks among NBA teams on each signal. #1 = most cursed.

18
Pythagorean Delta
1
30
+11.6
21
Injury Burden
1
30
+3.4

Tank Watch

Competing (0/100)

Boston Celtics have been consistently poor all season, but there's no second-half decline. Bad, not tanking.

First Half
26-15
0.6% win rate
Second Half
31-11
0.7% win rate
Win rate decline
-0pp
Close game collapse
-0pp
Point differential decline
-2.1pts/game
Late losing streaks
0 losing streaks
Roster turnover (2H)
24%
View full NBA Tank Score rankings →

Future Outlook

Regression Outlook
No Significant Regression Expected
Last 5: stable

Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.

See the odds
Why?

Boston Celtics are right where they belong. Their CLS of +15 means results match performance. What you see is what you get.

Next Matches

No upcoming fixtures available