Brooklyn Nets

Brooklyn Nets CURSD Luck Score

2025-26 NBA regular season · 82 games played · View NBA standings →

-2
CLS Score
13th unluckiest of 30 in the NBA

Nets are getting roughly what the data says they deserve. 1 wins vs 0.3 expected — neutral territory across the model's 8 signals (Pythagorean, close-game record, three-point variance, two-point variance, opponent free throws, and shot quality on both ends).

Data last updated May 1, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC

Key Stats

1
Wins
Expected: 0.3
124
Points For
90
Points Against
0.7
Wins Above Expected
Lucky gap

CLS Evolution

How the CLS has changed throughout the season

Unluckiest Match
Game 66 · 2026-03-12 · vs Hawks · away
108-97
Lost away against Hawks

Lost 97-108 to Atlanta Hawks despite winning the efficiency battle 56% to 46% eFG. The better-shooting team didn't get the result.

55.6%
Team eFG%
46.1%
Opp. eFG%
-0.8
Win Equity Lost

Individual Games

☠ Unluckiest Matches

Gm66 · 2026-03-12 · vs Hawks · Away-0.8 pts
Lost 97-108 to Atlanta Hawks despite winning the efficiency battle 56% to 46% eFG. The better-shooting team didn't get the result.
Score: 97-108 | eFG%: 55.6-46.1
Gm34 · 2026-01-08 · vs Magic · Home-0.7 pts
Lost 103-104 to Orlando Magic in a 1-point game. Shooting was roughly neutral on both sides; the game turned on the final possessions.
Score: 103-104 | eFG%: 51.7-47.4
Gm38 · 2026-01-15 · vs Pelicans · Away-0.7 pts
Lost 113-116 to New Orleans Pelicans despite winning the efficiency battle 56% to 50% eFG. The better-shooting team didn't get the result.
Score: 113-116 | eFG%: 55.8-50

✦ Luckiest Matches

Gm78 · 2026-04-05 · vs Wizards · Home+0.7 pts
Beat Washington Wizards 121-115 on hot shooting (57% eFG, +5.3 above season average).
Score: 121-115 | eFG%: 57.4-61.4
Gm79 · 2026-04-07 · vs Bucks · Home+0.6 pts
Beat Milwaukee Bucks 96-90 as they shot 52% eFG (-4.1 below their season average). Defensive luck, opponent couldn't find their shot.
Score: 96-90 | eFG%: 50-52.5
Gm47 · 2026-01-31 · vs Jazz · Away+0.5 pts
Beat Utah Jazz 109-99 on hot shooting (56% eFG, +4.0 above season average).
Score: 109-99 | eFG%: 56.1-56.4

Core Contributing Factors

What's Driving the CLS

Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.

Def 3P Luck
Opponents made 57 more threes than league-avg would predict (38.1% vs league) — opponents are heating up against them
-2
Pythagorean Delta
1 more wins than their point differential predicts (garbage-time-adjusted)
+1.7
Off 3P Luck
Made 61 fewer threes than league-avg 3P% on their volume would predict (34.0% vs league)
-1.7
Injury Burden
High injury burden (2 player-games missed) - stars and rotation pieces sidelined
+1.1
Off 2P Luck
Made 82 fewer 2s than league-avg 2P% on their volume predicts (52.8% vs league)
-0.8
Def 2P Luck
Opponents made 91 more 2s than league-avg would predict (57.1% vs league)
-0.7
Opp FT Luck
Opponents shot 77.5% FT vs league average — 16 misses in their favour (pure luck, defense has no control)
+0.4
Close Game Record
Not enough close game data
0
Total CLS-2

Future Outlook

Regression Outlook
No Significant Regression Expected
Last 5: stable

Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.

See the odds
Why?

Nets are right where they belong. Their CLS of -2 means results match performance. What you see is what you get.

Next Matches

No upcoming fixtures available