Brooklyn Nets

Brooklyn Nets Luck Index

2025-26 NBA Season · View NBA standings →

-5

Luck Index Score

Brooklyn Nets are getting roughly what they deserve. 18 points vs 17.5 expected - the football gods are neutral on this one.

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18

Wins

Expected: 17.5

8166

Points For

Expected: 17.5

8916

Points Against

0.5

Points Above Expected

Lucky gap

Luck Index Evolution

How the Luck Index has changed throughout the season

Unluckiest Match

Matchweek 34 · 2026-01-08 · vs Orlando Magic · at home

103-104

Lost at home against Orlando Magic

One of those games where nothing went right. Brooklyn Nets created 103 xG worth of chances - enough for roughly 103 goals on an average day. They scored 103. The model valued this match at 0.5 points for Brooklyn Nets. They got 0. That's 0.5 points of bad luck in 48 minutes.

103

xG Created

104

Opp. xG

-0.5

Pts Lost

☠ Unluckiest Matches

MW34 · 2026-01-08 · vs Orlando Magic · Home-0.5 pts

Lost 103-104 to Orlando Magic. A 1-point game that could have gone either way.

Score: 103-104 | xG: 103-104

MW70 · 2026-03-20 · vs New York Knicks · Home-0.5 pts

Lost 92-93 to New York Knicks. A 1-point game that could have gone either way.

Score: 92-93 | xG: 92-93

MW5 · 2025-10-29 · vs Atlanta Hawks · Home-0.4 pts

Lost to Atlanta Hawks 112-117.

Score: 112-117 | xG: 112-117

✦ Luckiest Matches

MW63 · 2026-03-07 · vs Detroit Pistons · Away+0.4 pts

Edged Detroit Pistons 107-105. A nail-biter decided by 2 points.

Score: 107-105 | xG: 107-105

MW39 · 2026-01-17 · vs Chicago Bulls · Home+0.4 pts

Edged Chicago Bulls 112-109. A nail-biter decided by 3 points.

Score: 112-109 | xG: 112-109

MW52 · 2026-02-10 · vs Chicago Bulls · Home+0.3 pts

Beat Chicago Bulls 123-115.

Score: 123-115 | xG: 123-115

What's Driving the Luck Index

Each factor's contribution to the Luck Index score. These add up to the total.

Shot Quality Luck

Shooting 2.3% below expected from shot locations (52.2% eFG vs 54.5% xeFG)

-18

Diff Consistency

Winning more than their per-game margin suggests - efficient in tight spots

+7

Pythagorean Delta

1 more wins than their point differential predicts

+4

Win% Gap

Winning at a higher rate than their scoring margin supports

+2

Total Luck Index-5

Rivalry Check

How are the rivals doing?

New York Knicks

New York Knicks

Boston Celtics

What to Expect Next

Regression Outlook

No Significant Regression Expected

Last 5: stable|5 games left

Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.

Why?

Brooklyn Nets are right where they belong. Their Luck Index of -5 means results match performance. What you see is what you get.

Next Matches

No upcoming fixtures available

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