Brooklyn Nets

Brooklyn Nets CURSD Luck Score

2025-26 NBA regular season · 82 games played · View NBA standings →

-39
CLS Score
5th unluckiest of 30 in the NBA

Nets can't seem to close games. 20 wins when their point differential predicts closer to 25.8. Not catastrophic, but the margins have consistently fallen the wrong way. Expect positive regression. Top driver: Pythagorean Delta (-20.6 CLS impact). 6 fewer wins than their point differential predicts (garbage-time-adjusted)

Data last updated May 1, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC

Key Stats

20
Wins
Expected: 25.8
8686
Points For
9505
Points Against
5.8
Wins Below Expected
Unlucky gap

CLS Evolution

How the CLS has changed throughout the season

Unluckiest Match
Game 66 · 2026-03-12 · vs Hawks · away
108-97
Lost away against Hawks

Lost 97-108 to Atlanta Hawks despite winning the efficiency battle 56% to 46% eFG. The better-shooting team didn't get the result.

55.6%
Team eFG%
46.1%
Opp. eFG%
-0.8
Win Equity Lost

Individual Games

☠ Unluckiest Matches

Gm66 · 2026-03-12 · vs Hawks · Away-0.8 pts
Lost 97-108 to Atlanta Hawks despite winning the efficiency battle 56% to 46% eFG. The better-shooting team didn't get the result.
Score: 97-108 | eFG%: 55.6-46.1
Gm34 · 2026-01-08 · vs Magic · Home-0.7 pts
Lost 103-104 to Orlando Magic in a 1-point game. Shooting was roughly neutral on both sides; the game turned on the final possessions.
Score: 103-104 | eFG%: 51.7-47.4
Gm38 · 2026-01-15 · vs Pelicans · Away-0.7 pts
Lost 113-116 to New Orleans Pelicans despite winning the efficiency battle 56% to 50% eFG. The better-shooting team didn't get the result.
Score: 113-116 | eFG%: 55.8-50

✦ Luckiest Matches

Gm78 · 2026-04-05 · vs Wizards · Home+0.7 pts
Beat Washington Wizards 121-115 on hot shooting (57% eFG, +5.3 above season average).
Score: 121-115 | eFG%: 57.4-61.4
Gm79 · 2026-04-07 · vs Bucks · Home+0.6 pts
Beat Milwaukee Bucks 96-90 as they shot 52% eFG (-4.1 below their season average). Defensive luck, opponent couldn't find their shot.
Score: 96-90 | eFG%: 50-52.5
Gm47 · 2026-01-31 · vs Jazz · Away+0.5 pts
Beat Utah Jazz 109-99 on hot shooting (56% eFG, +4.0 above season average).
Score: 109-99 | eFG%: 56.1-56.4

Core Contributing Factors

What's Driving the CLS

Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.

Pythagorean Delta
6 fewer wins than their point differential predicts (garbage-time-adjusted)
-20.6
Def 3P Luck
Opponents made 57 more threes than league-avg would predict (38.1% vs league) — opponents are heating up against them
-12.9
Injury Burden
High injury burden (1 player-games missed) - stars and rotation pieces sidelined
+10.8
Off 3P Luck
Made 61 fewer threes than league-avg 3P% on their volume would predict (34.0% vs league)
-9.9
Off 2P Luck
Made 82 fewer 2s than league-avg 2P% on their volume predicts (52.8% vs league)
-4.9
Def 2P Luck
Opponents made 91 more 2s than league-avg would predict (57.1% vs league)
-4.1
Opp FT Luck
Opponents shot 77.5% FT vs league average — 16 misses in their favour (pure luck, defense has no control)
+2.6
Close Game Record
Not enough close game data
0
Total CLS-39

Future Outlook

Regression Outlook
Improvement Probable
Last 5: stable

Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.

See the odds
Why?

At -39, Nets are meaningfully unlucky. They're roughly 6 wins below where their performance says they deserve to be. The underlying quality is there - results are expected to follow as luck normalizes.

Next Matches

No upcoming fixtures available