New York Knicks

New York Knicks CURSD Luck Score

2025-26 NBA regular season · 83 games played · View NBA standings →

+4
CLS Score
4th luckiest of 30 in the NBA

Knicks are getting roughly what the data says they deserve. 0 wins vs 0.6 expected — neutral territory across the model's 8 signals (Pythagorean, close-game record, three-point variance, two-point variance, opponent free throws, and shot quality on both ends).

Data last updated May 1, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC

Key Stats

0
Wins
Expected: 0.6
97
Points For
120
Points Against
0.6
Wins Below Expected
Unlucky gap

CLS Evolution

How the CLS has changed throughout the season

Unluckiest Match
Game 34 · 2026-01-01 · vs Spurs · away
134-132
Lost away against Spurs

Lost 132-134 to San Antonio Spurs in a 2-point game. Shooting was roughly neutral on both sides; the game turned on the final possessions.

59.4%
Team eFG%
57.3%
Opp. eFG%
-0.6
Win Equity Lost

Individual Games

☠ Unluckiest Matches

Gm34 · 2026-01-01 · vs Spurs · Away-0.6 pts
Lost 132-134 to San Antonio Spurs in a 2-point game. Shooting was roughly neutral on both sides; the game turned on the final possessions.
Score: 132-134 | eFG%: 59.4-57.3
Gm67 · 2026-03-10 · vs LA Clippers · Away-0.6 pts
Lost to LA Clippers 118-126. Shot 59% eFG vs their 56%.
Score: 118-126 | eFG%: 58.9-55.9
Gm13 · 2025-11-18 · vs Heat · Away-0.5 pts
Lost 113-115 to Miami Heat shooting just 51% eFG (-5.2 below season avg), including 9/36 from three. Couldn't buy a bucket.
Score: 113-115 | eFG%: 50.5-51.5

✦ Luckiest Matches

Gm18 · 2025-11-29 · vs Bucks · Home+0.9 pts
Stole it from Milwaukee Bucks 118-109 despite being outshot 54% to 65% eFG. Milwaukee Bucks were the more efficient team but couldn't close it out.
Score: 118-109 | eFG%: 53.6-64.8
Gm1 · 2025-10-22 · vs Cavaliers · Home+0.8 pts
Stole it from Cleveland Cavaliers 119-111 despite being outshot 51% to 58% eFG. Cleveland Cavaliers were the more efficient team but couldn't close it out.
Score: 119-111 | eFG%: 51.2-57.6
Gm70 · 2026-03-16 · vs Warriors · Home+0.7 pts
Edged Golden State Warriors 110-107 in a 3-point game. Both teams shot near their season averages; this one came down to the final possessions.
Score: 110-107 | eFG%: 52.4-57.3

Core Contributing Factors

What's Driving the CLS

Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.

Pythagorean Delta
1 fewer wins than their point differential predicts (garbage-time-adjusted)
+1.3
Injury Burden
High injury burden (1 player-games missed) - stars and rotation pieces sidelined
+1.3
Off 3P Luck
Made 41 more threes than league-avg 3P% on their volume would predict (37.3% vs league)
+0.9
Def 2P Luck
Opponents made 49 fewer 2s than league-avg would predict (53.8% vs league)
+0.3
Off 2P Luck
Made 25 more 2s than league-avg 2P% on their volume predicts (55.6% vs league)
+0.2
Def 3P Luck
Opponents made 7 more threes than league-avg would predict (36.2% vs league) — opponents are heating up against them
-0.2
Opp FT Luck
Opponents shot 77.8% FT vs league average — 10 misses in their favour (pure luck, defense has no control)
+0.2
Close Game Record
Not enough close game data
0
Total CLS+4

Future Outlook

Regression Outlook
No Significant Regression Expected
Last 5: stable

Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.

See the odds
Why?

Knicks are right where they belong. Their CLS of +4 means results match performance. What you see is what you get.

Next Matches

No upcoming fixtures available