New York Knicks

New York Knicks CURSD Luck Score

2025-26 NBA Season · View NBA standings →

+31
CLS Score

New York Knicks have had fortune on their side in close games. The CLS says they're winning more than their underlying performance warrants. Not extreme, but don't bet on the streak lasting.

Data last updated Oct 20, 2018, 1:46 AM UTC

Key Stats

53
Wins
Expected: 49.4
9549
Points For
9030
Points Against
3.6
Wins Above Expected
Lucky gap

CLS Evolution

How the CLS has changed throughout the season

Unluckiest Match
Matchweek 34 · 2026-01-01 · vs San Antonio Spurs · away
132-134
Lost away against San Antonio Spurs

Lost 132-134 to San Antonio Spurs in a 2-point game. Shooting was roughly neutral on both sides; the game turned on the final possessions.

59.4%
Team eFG%
57.3%
Opp. eFG%
-0.6
Pts Lost

Individual Games

☠ Unluckiest Matches

MW34 · 2026-01-01 · vs San Antonio Spurs · Away-0.6 pts
Lost 132-134 to San Antonio Spurs in a 2-point game. Shooting was roughly neutral on both sides; the game turned on the final possessions.
Score: 132-134 | eFG%: 59.4-57.3
MW67 · 2026-03-10 · vs LA Clippers · Away-0.6 pts
Lost to LA Clippers 118-126. Shot 59% eFG vs their 56%.
Score: 118-126 | eFG%: 58.9-55.9
MW13 · 2025-11-18 · vs Miami Heat · Away-0.5 pts
Lost 113-115 to Miami Heat shooting just 51% eFG (-5.1 below season avg), including 9/36 from three. Couldn't buy a bucket.
Score: 113-115 | eFG%: 50.5-51.5

✦ Luckiest Matches

MW18 · 2025-11-29 · vs Milwaukee Bucks · Home+0.9 pts
Stole it from Milwaukee Bucks 118-109 despite being outshot 54% to 65% eFG. Milwaukee Bucks were the more efficient team but couldn't close it out.
Score: 118-109 | eFG%: 53.6-64.8
MW1 · 2025-10-22 · vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Home+0.8 pts
Stole it from Cleveland Cavaliers 119-111 despite being outshot 51% to 58% eFG. Cleveland Cavaliers were the more efficient team but couldn't close it out.
Score: 119-111 | eFG%: 51.2-57.6
MW70 · 2026-03-16 · vs Golden State Warriors · Home+0.7 pts
Edged Golden State Warriors 110-107 in a 3-point game. Both teams shot near their season averages; this one came down to the final possessions.
Score: 110-107 | eFG%: 52.4-57.3

Core Contributing Factors

What's Driving the CLS

Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.

Pythagorean Delta
4 more wins than their point differential predicts (garbage-time-adjusted)
+27
Injury Burden
High injury burden (131 player-games missed) - stars and rotation pieces sidelined
+4
Total CLS+31

Rank Per Signal

Where New York Knicks ranks among NBA teams on each signal. #1 = most cursed.

23
Injury Burden
1
30
+4
25
Pythagorean Delta
1
30
+27

Tank Watch

Competing (0/100)

New York Knicks have been consistently poor all season, but there's no second-half decline. Bad, not tanking.

First Half
26-16
0.6% win rate
Second Half
29-14
0.7% win rate
Win rate decline
-0pp
Close game collapse
-0pp
Point differential decline
-4.8pts/game
Late losing streaks
0 losing streaks
Roster turnover (2H)
16%
View full NBA Tank Score rankings →

Future Outlook

Regression Outlook
Dip in Form Probable
Last 5: stable

Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.

See the odds
Why?

New York Knicks are riding their luck at +31. They're winning games their underlying numbers don't fully support. The correction hasn't started yet, but historical patterns suggest it's coming.

Next Matches

No upcoming fixtures available