New York Knicks

New York Knicks CURSD Luck Score

2025-26 NBA regular season · 83 games played · View NBA standings →

+35
CLS Score
4th luckiest of 30 in the NBA

Knicks have had fortune on their side in close games. The CLS says they're winning more than their underlying performance warrants. Not extreme, but don't bet on the streak lasting. Top driver: Pythagorean Delta (+10.7 CLS impact). 4 more wins than their point differential predicts (garbage-time-adjusted)

Data last updated May 1, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC

Key Stats

53
Wins
Expected: 49.3
9549
Points For
9030
Points Against
3.7
Wins Above Expected
Lucky gap

CLS Evolution

How the CLS has changed throughout the season

Unluckiest Match
Game 34 · 2026-01-01 · vs Spurs · away
134-132
Lost away against Spurs

Lost 132-134 to San Antonio Spurs in a 2-point game. Shooting was roughly neutral on both sides; the game turned on the final possessions.

59.4%
Team eFG%
57.3%
Opp. eFG%
-0.6
Win Equity Lost

Individual Games

☠ Unluckiest Matches

Gm34 · 2026-01-01 · vs Spurs · Away-0.6 pts
Lost 132-134 to San Antonio Spurs in a 2-point game. Shooting was roughly neutral on both sides; the game turned on the final possessions.
Score: 132-134 | eFG%: 59.4-57.3
Gm67 · 2026-03-10 · vs LA Clippers · Away-0.6 pts
Lost to LA Clippers 118-126. Shot 59% eFG vs their 56%.
Score: 118-126 | eFG%: 58.9-55.9
Gm13 · 2025-11-18 · vs Heat · Away-0.5 pts
Lost 113-115 to Miami Heat shooting just 51% eFG (-5.2 below season avg), including 9/36 from three. Couldn't buy a bucket.
Score: 113-115 | eFG%: 50.5-51.5

✦ Luckiest Matches

Gm18 · 2025-11-29 · vs Bucks · Home+0.9 pts
Stole it from Milwaukee Bucks 118-109 despite being outshot 54% to 65% eFG. Milwaukee Bucks were the more efficient team but couldn't close it out.
Score: 118-109 | eFG%: 53.6-64.8
Gm1 · 2025-10-22 · vs Cavaliers · Home+0.8 pts
Stole it from Cleveland Cavaliers 119-111 despite being outshot 51% to 58% eFG. Cleveland Cavaliers were the more efficient team but couldn't close it out.
Score: 119-111 | eFG%: 51.2-57.6
Gm70 · 2026-03-16 · vs Warriors · Home+0.7 pts
Edged Golden State Warriors 110-107 in a 3-point game. Both teams shot near their season averages; this one came down to the final possessions.
Score: 110-107 | eFG%: 52.4-57.3

Core Contributing Factors

What's Driving the CLS

Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.

Pythagorean Delta
4 more wins than their point differential predicts (garbage-time-adjusted)
+10.7
Injury Burden
No injury data available
+9
Close Game Record
63% win rate in 8 close games (+1.1 avg margin)
+7.1
Off 3P Luck
Made 41 more threes than league-avg 3P% on their volume would predict (37.3% vs league)
+5.3
Def 2P Luck
Opponents made 49 fewer 2s than league-avg would predict (53.8% vs league)
+1.7
Off 2P Luck
Made 25 more 2s than league-avg 2P% on their volume predicts (55.6% vs league)
+1.2
Def 3P Luck
Opponents made 7 more threes than league-avg would predict (36.2% vs league) — opponents are heating up against them
-1.2
Opp FT Luck
Opponents shot 77.8% FT vs league average — 10 misses in their favour (pure luck, defense has no control)
+1.2
Total CLS+35

Future Outlook

Regression Outlook
Dip in Form Probable
Last 5: stable

Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.

See the odds
Why?

Knicks are riding their luck at +35. They're winning games their underlying numbers don't fully support. The correction hasn't started yet, but historical patterns suggest it's coming.

Next Matches

No upcoming fixtures available