Giants CURSD Luck Score
2026 MLB Season · View MLB standings →
+5
CLS Score
Giants are getting what their run differential deserves. 9 wins vs 8.6 expected — the baseball gods are neutral.
Data last updated Oct 20, 2018, 1:46 AM UTC
Key Stats
9
Wins
Expected: 8.6
75
Runs Scored
96
Runs Allowed
0.4
Wins Above Expected
Lucky gap
CLS Evolution
How the CLS has changed throughout the season
Unluckiest Match
Matchweek 11 · 2026-04-06 · vs Phillies · at home
4-6
Lost at home against Phillies
Lost to Phillies 4-6.
4
Runs
6
Opp. Runs
-0.3
Pts Lost
Individual Games
☠ Unluckiest Matches
MW11 · 2026-04-06 · vs Phillies · Home-0.3 pts
Lost to Phillies 4-6.
Score: 4-6
MW10 · 2026-04-05 · vs Mets · Home-0.2 pts
Lost to Mets 2-5.
Score: 2-5
MW17 · 2026-04-14 · vs Reds · Away-0.2 pts
Lost 1-2 to Reds. A one-run game that could have gone either way.
Score: 1-2
✦ Luckiest Matches
MW21 · 2026-04-18 · vs Nationals · Away+0.4 pts
Edged Nationals 7-6 in 12 innings. The slimmest of margins.
Score: 7-6
MW4 · 2026-03-30 · vs Padres · Away+0.3 pts
Edged Padres 3-2. The slimmest of margins.
Score: 3-2
MW20 · 2026-04-17 · vs Nationals · Away+0.2 pts
Blew out Nationals 10-5. A dominant performance.
Score: 10-5
Core Contributing Factors
What's Driving the CLS
Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.
One-Run Game Record
Not enough one-run games yet (2-1)
+2.3
Pythagorean Delta
0 more wins than their run differential predicts
+2
Pitching Luck
ERA 4.42 vs xERA 4.77 - pitchers suppressing runs beyond what contact quality predicts
+0.6
Injury Burden
High injury burden (11 player-games missed) - key absences hurting
+0.6
Batting Luck
wOBA 0.290 vs xwOBA 0.297 - hard contact not converting into hits
-0.5
Total CLS+5
Rank Per Signal
Where Giants ranks among MLB teams on each signal. #1 = most cursed.
10-0.5
Batting Luck
1
30
17+0.6
Pitching Luck
1
30
19+0.6
Injury Burden
1
30
22+2
Pythagorean Delta
1
30
22+2.3
One-Run Game Record
1
30
Rivalry Check
How are the rivals doing?
Future Outlook
Regression Outlook
No Significant Regression Expected
Last 5: stable|140 games left
Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.
See the oddsWhy?
Giants are right where they belong. Their CLS of +5 means results match performance. What you see is what you get. Their next 5 opponents average 8th in the league - a tough run.