Levante

Levante CURSD Luck Score

2026-27 season · 6 matches played · View La Liga standings →

+1
CLS Score
9th luckiest of 20 in the La Liga

Levante are getting roughly what they deserve. 5 points vs 6.34 expected - the football gods are neutral on this one.

Data last updated May 1, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC

Key Stats

5
Points
Expected: 6.34
8
Goals Scored
xG: 8
12
Goals Conceded
xGA: 12.48
1.3
Points Below Expected
Unlucky gap

CLS Evolution

How the CLS has changed throughout the season

Unluckiest Match
Matchweek 5 · 2026-09-13 · vs Barcelona · at home
2-4
Lost at home against Barcelona

One of those games where nothing went right. Levante created 2.42 xG worth of chances - enough for roughly 2 goals on an average day. They scored 2. The model valued this match at 1.3 points for Levante. They got 0. That's 1.3 points of bad luck in 90 minutes.

Match timeline
5'X. Espart scores for Barcelona (assist: Raphinha)
19'Lamine Yamal scores for Barcelona (assist: Raphinha)
48'Lamine Yamal scores for Barcelona
79'I. Romero scores for Levante
88'R. Brugue scores for Levante
90'K. Adeyemi scores for Barcelona (assist: M. Bernal)
2.42
xG Created
2.58
Opp. xG
-1.3
Pts Lost

Individual Games

☠ Unluckiest Matches

MW5 · 2026-09-13 · vs Barcelona · Home-1.3 pts
Lost 2-4 home despite 2.4 xG. Expected 1.3 pts, got 0.
Score: 2-4 | xG: 2.42-2.58
MW2 · 2026-08-24 · vs Osasuna · Away-0.8 pts
Drew 0-0 away. xG: 1.3-0.7.
Score: 0-0 | xG: 1.28-0.7
MW1 · 2026-08-16 · vs Espanyol · Away-0.4 pts
Lost 0-3 away. xG: 0.3-1.6.
Score: 0-3 | xG: 0.28-1.55

✦ Luckiest Matches

MW3 · 2026-08-29 · vs Real Betis · Home+1.2 pts
Won 5-2 home from 2.8 xG. Got 3 pts vs 1.8 expected.
Score: 5-2 | xG: 2.76-1.92
MW4 · 2026-09-06 · vs Malaga · Away+0.1 pts
Drew 0-0 away. xG: 0.8-1.5.
Score: 0-0 | xG: 0.81-1.46
MW6 · 2026-09-20 · vs Villarreal · Away+-0.1 pts
Lost 1-3 away. xG: 0.5-4.3.
Score: 1-3 | xG: 0.45-4.27

Core Contributing Factors

What's Driving the CLS

Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.

xPTS Gap
1 fewer points than xG simulations say they deserve
-2.4
Injury Burden
Low injury burden (22 player-games missed) - squad depth available
+1.9
Schedule Strength
Faced weaker-than-average opponents so far
+1.6
Shot Volume Gap
Outshooting opponents but not getting the results to match
-1.4
Discipline
Opponents picking up more cards - refereeing luck is on their side
+1.1
Defensive Luck
Conceding almost exactly at the 12.5 xGA opponents generate - no defensive luck either way
+0.8
Finishing Luck
Scoring almost exactly at their 8.0 xG - neither clinical nor wasteful
-0.6
Total CLS+1

Rivalry Check

How are the rivals doing?

Valencia
Valencia
1W-1D-5L
-27Unlucky
#19 in league

Future Outlook

Regression Outlook
No Significant Regression Expected
Last 5: stable|32 games left

Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.

See the odds
Why?

Levante are right where they belong. Their CLS of +1 means results match performance. What you see is what you get. Their remaining schedule is moderate (opponents average 6th).

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