Nantes CURSD Luck Score
2025-26 Season · View Ligue 1 standings →
Nantes can't catch a break. 20 points when the data says they deserve closer to 30.77? 17 losses, many of them undeserved based on the chances created. The numbers say better days are coming.
Data last updated Oct 20, 2018, 1:46 AM UTC
Key Stats
CLS Evolution
How the CLS has changed throughout the season
One of those games where nothing went right. Nantes generated 1.42 xG, comfortably more than the 0.52 their opponent managed. Lorient generated just 0.52 xG but made it count. The model valued this match at 2.0 points for Nantes. They got 0. That's 2.0 points of bad luck in 90 minutes.
Individual Games
☠ Unluckiest Matches
✦ Luckiest Matches
Core Contributing Factors
What's Driving the CLS
Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.
Rank Per Signal
Where Nantes ranks among Ligue 1 teams on each signal. #1 = most cursed.
Rivalry Check
How are the rivals doing?
Future Outlook
Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.
See the oddsAt -23, Nantes are meaningfully unlucky. They're roughly 11 points below where their performance says they deserve to be. The underlying quality is there - results are expected to follow as luck normalizes. Their next 5 opponents average 5th in the league - a tough run. A difficult run could slow the bounce-back.