Sacramento Kings

Sacramento Kings CURSD Luck Score

2025-26 NBA Season · View NBA standings →

-32
CLS Score

Sacramento Kings can't seem to close games. 22 wins when their point differential predicts closer to 26.3. Not catastrophic, but the margins have consistently fallen the wrong way. Expect positive regression.

Data last updated Oct 20, 2018, 1:46 AM UTC

Key Stats

22
Wins
Expected: 26.3
9102
Points For
9922
Points Against
4.3
Wins Below Expected
Unlucky gap

CLS Evolution

How the CLS has changed throughout the season

Unluckiest Match
Matchweek 1 · 2025-10-23 · vs Phoenix Suns · away
116-120
Lost away against Phoenix Suns

Lost to Phoenix Suns 116-120. Shot 55% eFG vs their 53%.

54.8%
Team eFG%
52.6%
Opp. eFG%
-0.6
Pts Lost

Individual Games

☠ Unluckiest Matches

MW1 · 2025-10-23 · vs Phoenix Suns · Away-0.6 pts
Lost to Phoenix Suns 116-120. Shot 55% eFG vs their 53%.
Score: 116-120 | eFG%: 54.8-52.6
MW37 · 2026-01-07 · vs Dallas Mavericks · Home-0.6 pts
Lost 98-100 to Dallas Mavericks shooting just 47% eFG (-5.3 below season avg). Couldn't buy a bucket.
Score: 98-100 | eFG%: 47.3-44.8
MW43 · 2026-01-19 · vs Portland Trail Blazers · Home-0.6 pts
Lost to Portland Trail Blazers 110-117. Shot 55% eFG vs their 53%.
Score: 110-117 | eFG%: 55.2-53

✦ Luckiest Matches

MW6 · 2025-11-01 · vs Milwaukee Bucks · Away+0.9 pts
Stole it from Milwaukee Bucks 135-133 despite being outshot 57% to 69% eFG. Milwaukee Bucks were the more efficient team but couldn't close it out.
Score: 135-133 | eFG%: 57.5-68.9
MW77 · 2026-04-02 · vs Toronto Raptors · Away+0.8 pts
Stole it from Toronto Raptors 123-115 despite being outshot 52% to 60% eFG. Toronto Raptors were the more efficient team but couldn't close it out.
Score: 123-115 | eFG%: 52.2-60.4
MW61 · 2026-02-27 · vs Dallas Mavericks · Away+0.8 pts
Stole it from Dallas Mavericks 130-121 despite being outshot 54% to 62% eFG. Dallas Mavericks were the more efficient team but couldn't close it out.
Score: 130-121 | eFG%: 54.5-61.7

Core Contributing Factors

What's Driving the CLS

Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.

Pythagorean Delta
4 fewer wins than their point differential predicts (garbage-time-adjusted)
-30.8
Injury Burden
High injury burden (195 player-games missed) - stars and rotation pieces sidelined
-1.2
Total CLS-32

Rank Per Signal

Where Sacramento Kings ranks among NBA teams on each signal. #1 = most cursed.

8
Pythagorean Delta
1
30
-30.8
13
Injury Burden
1
30
-1.2

Tank Watch

Competing (5/100)

Sacramento Kings have been consistently poor all season, but there's no second-half decline. Bad, not tanking.

First Half
11-30
0.3% win rate
Second Half
11-30
0.3% win rate
Win rate decline
0pp
Close game collapse
0pp
Point differential decline
-1.0pts/game
Late losing streaks
1 losing streak
Roster turnover (2H)
18%
View full NBA Tank Score rankings →

Future Outlook

Regression Outlook
Improvement Probable
Last 5: stable

Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.

See the odds
Why?

At -32, Sacramento Kings are meaningfully unlucky. They're roughly 4 wins below where their performance says they deserve to be. The underlying quality is there - results are expected to follow as luck normalizes.

Next Matches

No upcoming fixtures available