Los Angeles Lakers

Los Angeles Lakers CURSD Luck Score

2025-26 NBA Season · View NBA standings →

+47
CLS Score

Los Angeles Lakers are riding the coin flips. 53 wins from 46.6 expected — that 6.4-game gap is the kind of luck that doesn't last. When the close-game variance evens out, the record follows.

Data last updated Oct 20, 2018, 1:46 AM UTC

Key Stats

53
Wins
Expected: 46.6
9540
Points For
9395
Points Against
6.4
Wins Above Expected
Lucky gap

CLS Evolution

How the CLS has changed throughout the season

Unluckiest Match
Matchweek 57 · 2026-02-25 · vs Orlando Magic · at home
109-110
Lost at home against Orlando Magic

Lost 109-110 to Orlando Magic in a 1-point game. Shooting was roughly neutral on both sides; the game turned on the final possessions.

53.6%
Team eFG%
49.5%
Opp. eFG%
-0.7
Pts Lost

Individual Games

☠ Unluckiest Matches

MW57 · 2026-02-25 · vs Orlando Magic · Home-0.7 pts
Lost 109-110 to Orlando Magic in a 1-point game. Shooting was roughly neutral on both sides; the game turned on the final possessions.
Score: 109-110 | eFG%: 53.6-49.5
MW72 · 2026-03-23 · vs Detroit Pistons · Away-0.6 pts
Lost 110-113 to Detroit Pistons shooting just 53% eFG (-4.3 below season avg), including 8/29 from three. Couldn't buy a bucket.
Score: 110-113 | eFG%: 53.2-51.7
MW1 · 2025-10-22 · vs Golden State Warriors · Home-0.5 pts
Lost 109-119 to Golden State Warriors as they shot 60% eFG and hit 17/40 from three, well above their 55% season average. Got shot out of the building.
Score: 109-119 | eFG%: 59.7-59.6

✦ Luckiest Matches

MW25 · 2025-12-15 · vs Phoenix Suns · Away+0.8 pts
Stole it from Phoenix Suns 116-114 despite being outshot 47% to 57% eFG. Phoenix Suns were the more efficient team but couldn't close it out.
Score: 116-114 | eFG%: 47.2-56.7
MW11 · 2025-11-11 · vs Charlotte Hornets · Away+0.8 pts
Stole it from Charlotte Hornets 121-111 despite being outshot 58% to 64% eFG. Charlotte Hornets were the more efficient team but couldn't close it out.
Score: 121-111 | eFG%: 57.8-64.1
MW9 · 2025-11-06 · vs San Antonio Spurs · Home+0.8 pts
Stole it from San Antonio Spurs 118-116 despite being outshot 51% to 57% eFG. San Antonio Spurs were the more efficient team but couldn't close it out.
Score: 118-116 | eFG%: 50.6-57.4

Core Contributing Factors

What's Driving the CLS

Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.

Pythagorean Delta
6 more wins than their point differential predicts (garbage-time-adjusted)
+46.7
Injury Burden
High injury burden (176 player-games missed) - stars and rotation pieces sidelined
+0.3
Total CLS+47

Rank Per Signal

Where Los Angeles Lakers ranks among NBA teams on each signal. #1 = most cursed.

15
Injury Burden
1
30
+0.3
30
Pythagorean Delta
1
30
+46.7

Tank Watch

Competing (0/100)

Los Angeles Lakers have been consistently poor all season, but there's no second-half decline. Bad, not tanking.

First Half
25-16
0.6% win rate
Second Half
29-13
0.7% win rate
Win rate decline
-0pp
Close game collapse
0pp
Point differential decline
-4.4pts/game
Late losing streaks
0 losing streaks
Roster turnover (2H)
11%
View full NBA Tank Score rankings →

Future Outlook

Regression Outlook
Results Expected to Decline
Last 5: stable

Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.

See the odds
Why?

At +47, Los Angeles Lakers are living on borrowed time. This level of overperformance is historically unsustainable. The gap between their results and their actual quality is too large to maintain.

Next Matches

No upcoming fixtures available