San Antonio Spurs

San Antonio Spurs CURSD Luck Score

2025-26 NBA Season · View NBA standings →

+53
CLS Score

San Antonio Spurs are riding the coin flips. 62 wins from 55.8 expected — that 6.2-game gap is the kind of luck that doesn't last. When the close-game variance evens out, the record follows.

Data last updated Oct 20, 2018, 1:46 AM UTC

Key Stats

62
Wins
Expected: 55.8
9826
Points For
9145
Points Against
6.2
Wins Above Expected
Lucky gap

CLS Evolution

How the CLS has changed throughout the season

Unluckiest Match
Matchweek 7 · 2025-11-06 · vs Los Angeles Lakers · away
116-118
Lost away against Los Angeles Lakers

Lost 116-118 to Los Angeles Lakers despite winning the efficiency battle 57% to 51% eFG. The better-shooting team didn't get the result.

57.4%
Team eFG%
50.6%
Opp. eFG%
-0.8
Pts Lost

Individual Games

☠ Unluckiest Matches

MW7 · 2025-11-06 · vs Los Angeles Lakers · Away-0.8 pts
Lost 116-118 to Los Angeles Lakers despite winning the efficiency battle 57% to 51% eFG. The better-shooting team didn't get the result.
Score: 116-118 | eFG%: 57.4-50.6
MW49 · 2026-01-31 · vs Charlotte Hornets · Away-0.7 pts
Lost to Charlotte Hornets 106-111. Shot 56% eFG vs their 52%.
Score: 106-111 | eFG%: 55.6-51.7
MW11 · 2025-11-13 · vs Golden State Warriors · Home-0.6 pts
Lost to Golden State Warriors 120-125. Shot 56% eFG vs their 55%.
Score: 120-125 | eFG%: 56.4-54.7

✦ Luckiest Matches

MW35 · 2026-01-03 · vs Indiana Pacers · Away+0.8 pts
Stole it from Indiana Pacers 123-113 despite being outshot 52% to 58% eFG. Indiana Pacers were the more efficient team but couldn't close it out.
Score: 123-113 | eFG%: 51.5-58.1
MW39 · 2026-01-11 · vs Boston Celtics · Away+0.7 pts
Beat Boston Celtics 100-95 as they shot 49% eFG (-5.9 below their season average). Defensive luck, opponent couldn't find their shot.
Score: 100-95 | eFG%: 45.3-49.5
MW18 · 2025-11-29 · vs Denver Nuggets · Away+0.7 pts
Edged Denver Nuggets 139-136 in a 3-point game. Both teams shot near their season averages; this one came down to the final possessions.
Score: 139-136 | eFG%: 58-61.5

Core Contributing Factors

What's Driving the CLS

Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.

Pythagorean Delta
6 more wins than their point differential predicts (garbage-time-adjusted)
+45.3
Injury Burden
High injury burden (84 player-games missed) - stars and rotation pieces sidelined
+7.7
Total CLS+53

Rank Per Signal

Where San Antonio Spurs ranks among NBA teams on each signal. #1 = most cursed.

29
Pythagorean Delta
1
30
+45.3
30
Injury Burden
1
30
+7.7

Tank Watch

Competing (0/100)

San Antonio Spurs have been consistently poor all season, but there's no second-half decline. Bad, not tanking.

First Half
28-14
0.7% win rate
Second Half
35-7
0.8% win rate
Win rate decline
-0pp
Close game collapse
0pp
Point differential decline
-6.7pts/game
Late losing streaks
0 losing streaks
Roster turnover (2H)
6%
View full NBA Tank Score rankings →

Future Outlook

Regression Outlook
Results Expected to Decline
Last 5: stable

Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.

See the odds
Why?

At +53, San Antonio Spurs are living on borrowed time. This level of overperformance is historically unsustainable. The gap between their results and their actual quality is too large to maintain.

Next Matches

No upcoming fixtures available