Houston Rockets

Houston Rockets CURSD Luck Score

2025-26 NBA regular season · 82 games played · View NBA standings →

0
CLS Score
15th luckiest of 30 in the NBA

Rockets are getting roughly what the data says they deserve. 0 wins vs 50 expected — neutral territory across the model's 8 signals (Pythagorean, close-game record, three-point variance, two-point variance, opponent free throws, and shot quality on both ends).

Data last updated May 1, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC

Key Stats

0
Wins
Expected: 50
0
Points For
0
Points Against
50
Wins Below Expected
Unlucky gap

CLS Evolution

How the CLS has changed throughout the season

Unluckiest Match
Game 26 · 2025-12-22 · vs Kings · away
125-124
Lost away against Kings

Lost 124-125 to Sacramento Kings in a 1-point game. Shooting was roughly neutral on both sides; the game turned on the final possessions.

56.4%
Team eFG%
52.6%
Opp. eFG%
-0.7
Win Equity Lost

Individual Games

☠ Unluckiest Matches

Gm26 · 2025-12-22 · vs Kings · Away-0.7 pts
Lost 124-125 to Sacramento Kings in a 1-point game. Shooting was roughly neutral on both sides; the game turned on the final possessions.
Score: 124-125 | eFG%: 56.4-52.6
Gm67 · 2026-03-17 · vs Lakers · Home-0.6 pts
Lost to Los Angeles Lakers 92-100. Shot 51% eFG vs their 49%.
Score: 92-100 | eFG%: 51.3-48.8
Gm1 · 2025-10-21 · vs Thunder · Away-0.5 pts
Lost 124-125 to Oklahoma City Thunder shooting just 50% eFG (-4.5 below season avg), including 11/39 from three. Couldn't buy a bucket.
Score: 124-125 | eFG%: 50-50.5

✦ Luckiest Matches

Gm48 · 2026-02-03 · vs Pacers · Away+0.8 pts
Stole it from Indiana Pacers 118-114 despite being outshot 50% to 56% eFG. Indiana Pacers were the more efficient team but couldn't close it out.
Score: 118-114 | eFG%: 50-56.3
Gm22 · 2025-12-12 · vs LA Clippers · Home+0.8 pts
Stole it from LA Clippers 115-113 despite being outshot 53% to 59% eFG. LA Clippers were the more efficient team but couldn't close it out.
Score: 115-113 | eFG%: 52.7-59
Gm60 · 2026-03-03 · vs Wizards · Away+0.7 pts
Beat Washington Wizards 123-118. Shot 54% eFG vs their 59%.
Score: 123-118 | eFG%: 53.8-58.8

Core Contributing Factors

What's Driving the CLS

Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.

Pythagorean Delta
50 fewer wins than their point differential predicts (garbage-time-adjusted)
0
Close Game Record
Not enough close game data
0
Off 3P Luck
Made 12 more threes than league-avg 3P% on their volume would predict (36.4% vs league)
0
Off 2P Luck
Made 47 fewer 2s than league-avg 2P% on their volume predicts (54.0% vs league)
0
Def 3P Luck
Opponents made 26 fewer threes than league-avg would predict (35.1% vs league) — defensive 3P variance in their favour
0
Def 2P Luck
Opponents made 73 fewer 2s than league-avg would predict (53.3% vs league)
0
Opp FT Luck
Opponents shot 75.6% FT vs league average — 49 misses in their favour (pure luck, defense has no control)
0
Injury Burden
No injury data available
0
Total CLS0

Future Outlook

Regression Outlook
No Significant Regression Expected
Last 5: stable

Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.

See the odds
Why?

Rockets are right where they belong. Their CLS of 0 means results match performance. What you see is what you get.

Next Matches

No upcoming fixtures available