Utah Mammoth CURSD Luck Score
2025-26 NHL regular season · 4 games played · View NHL standings →
-6
CLS Score
6th unluckiest of 32 in the NHL
Utah Mammoth are getting roughly what their play deserves. 6 points vs 7.2 expected — neutral on the luck scale.
Data last updated May 1, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC
Key Stats
6
Points
Expected: 7.2
17
Goals For
8
Goals Against
1.2
Points Below Expected
Unlucky gap
CLS Evolution
How the CLS has changed throughout the season
Unluckiest Match
Game 3 · 2026-10-04 · vs Rangers · away
4-2
Lost away against Rangers
Lost to New York Rangers 2-4.
2
Goals
4
Opp. Goals
-0.7
Win Equity Lost
Individual Games
☠ Unluckiest Matches
Gm3 · 2026-10-04 · vs Rangers · Away-0.7 pts
Lost to New York Rangers 2-4.
Score: 2-4
✦ Luckiest Matches
Gm4 · 2026-10-06 · vs Devils · Away+0.7 pts
Beat New Jersey Devils 5-3.
Score: 5-3
Gm2 · 2026-10-03 · vs Blue Jackets · Away+0.4 pts
Dominated Columbus Blue Jackets 4-1. A convincing win that the scoreline reflects.
Score: 4-1
Core Contributing Factors
What's Driving the CLS
Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.
Pythagorean Delta
1 fewer points than their goal differential predicts
-6.2
Injury Burden
High injury burden (4 player-games missed) - key absences hurting
+1.3
OT Loss Rate
No OT losses - losing in regulation when they lose
-1.1
Close Games
Not enough one-goal games to measure
0
Shootout Record
0-0 in shootouts (net 0)
0
Total CLS-6
Rivalry Check
How are the rivals doing?
Future Outlook
Regression Outlook
No Significant Regression Expected
Last 5: stable|78 games left
Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.
See the oddsWhy?
Utah Mammoth are right where they belong. Their CLS of -6 means results match performance. What you see is what you get. Their remaining schedule is moderate (opponents average 12th).