Utah Mammoth

Utah Mammoth CURSD Luck Score

2025-26 NHL regular season · 82 games played · View NHL standings →

-62
CLS Score
2nd unluckiest of 32 in the NHL

Utah Mammoth have been robbed by hockey's coin flips. 92 points from 102.5 expected — the kind of gap that shows up when shootouts, OT losses, and one-goal games have all gone the wrong way. The underlying performance says they're better than the standings show. Top driver: Pythagorean Delta (-54.7 CLS impact). 10 fewer points than their goal differential predicts

Data last updated May 1, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC

Key Stats

92
Points
Expected: 102.5
268
Goals For
240
Goals Against
10.5
Points Below Expected
Unlucky gap

CLS Evolution

How the CLS has changed throughout the season

Unluckiest Match
Game 24 · 2025-11-26 · vs Canadiens · at home
4-3
Lost at home against Canadiens

Lost 3-4 against Montréal Canadiens. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.

3
Goals
4
Opp. Goals
-0.9
Win Equity Lost

Individual Games

☠ Unluckiest Matches

Gm24 · 2025-11-26 · vs Canadiens · Home-0.9 pts
Lost 3-4 against Montréal Canadiens. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 3-4
Gm25 · 2025-11-28 · vs Stars · Away-0.9 pts
Lost 3-4 against Dallas Stars. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 3-4
Gm32 · 2025-12-10 · vs Panthers · Home-0.9 pts
Lost 3-4 against Florida Panthers. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 3-4

✦ Luckiest Matches

Gm77 · 2026-04-07 · vs Oilers · Home+0.9 pts
Edged Edmonton Oilers 6-5 in OT/SO. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 6-5
Gm71 · 2026-03-22 · vs Kings · Home+0.9 pts
Edged Los Angeles Kings 4-3 in OT/SO. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 4-3
Gm63 · 2026-03-07 · vs Blue Jackets · Away+0.9 pts
Edged Columbus Blue Jackets 5-4 in OT/SO. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 5-4

Core Contributing Factors

What's Driving the CLS

Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.

Pythagorean Delta
10 fewer points than their goal differential predicts
-54.7
OT Loss Rate
6 OT losses earning loser points - some consolation from OT
-9.5
Injury Burden
High injury burden (3 player-games missed) - key absences hurting
+4.3
Close Games
16-17 in one-goal games (48% win rate vs expected 50%)
-1.9
Shootout Record
0-0 in shootouts (net 0)
-0.2
Total CLS-62

Future Outlook

Regression Outlook
Results Expected to Improve
Last 5: stable

Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.

See the odds
Why?

Utah Mammoth are deeply cursed at -62. This level of underperformance almost never persists. The data they're generating - the chances created, the shots taken, the defensive work - all point to a team better than their record. Regression to the mean is one of the most reliable forces in sports.

Next Matches

No upcoming fixtures available