Colorado Avalanche CURSD Luck Score
2025-26 NHL Season · View NHL standings →
-12
CLS Score
Colorado Avalanche are getting roughly what their play deserves. 121 points vs 127.2 expected — neutral on the luck scale.
Data last updated Oct 20, 2018, 1:46 AM UTC
Key Stats
121
Points
Expected: 127.2
302
Goals For
203
Goals Against
6.2
Points Below Expected
Unlucky gap
CLS Evolution
How the CLS has changed throughout the season
Unluckiest Match
Matchweek 63 · 2026-03-10 · vs Edmonton Oilers · at home
3-4
Lost at home against Edmonton Oilers
Lost 3-4 against Edmonton Oilers. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
3
Goals
4
Opp. Goals
-0.9
Pts Lost
Individual Games
☠ Unluckiest Matches
MW63 · 2026-03-10 · vs Edmonton Oilers · Home-0.9 pts
Lost 3-4 against Edmonton Oilers. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 3-4
MW74 · 2026-04-01 · vs Vancouver Canucks · Home-0.9 pts
Lost to Vancouver Canucks 6-8.
Score: 6-8
MW9 · 2025-10-25 · vs Boston Bruins · Away-0.8 pts
Lost 2-3 against Boston Bruins. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 2-3
✦ Luckiest Matches
MW61 · 2026-03-06 · vs Dallas Stars · Away+0.9 pts
Edged Dallas Stars 5-4 in OT/SO. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 5-4
MW37 · 2025-12-27 · vs Vegas Golden Knights · Away+0.9 pts
Edged Vegas Golden Knights 6-5 in OT/SO. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 6-5
MW16 · 2025-11-09 · vs Vancouver Canucks · Away+0.9 pts
Edged Vancouver Canucks 5-4 in OT/SO. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 5-4
Core Contributing Factors
What's Driving the CLS
Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.
Pythagorean Delta
6 fewer points than their goal differential predicts
-31.3
OT Loss Rate
11 OT losses earning loser points - collecting free points
+14.7
Injury Burden
High injury burden (166 player-games missed) - key absences hurting
+9.7
Shootout Record
4-6 in shootouts (net -2)
-5.1
Close Games
15-15 in one-goal games (50% win rate vs expected 50%)
0
Total CLS-12
Rank Per Signal
Where Colorado Avalanche ranks among NHL teams on each signal. #1 = most cursed.
4-31.3
Pythagorean Delta
1
32
12-5.1
Shootout Record
1
32
180
Close Games
1
32
31+14.7
OT Loss Rate
1
32
31+9.7
Injury Burden
1
32
Rivalry Check
How are the rivals doing?
Future Outlook
Regression Outlook
No Significant Regression Expected
Last 5: improving
Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.
See the oddsWhy?
Colorado Avalanche are right where they belong. Their CLS of -12 means results match performance. What you see is what you get.
Next Matches
No upcoming fixtures available