Colorado Avalanche CURSD Luck Score
2025-26 NHL regular season · 2 games played · View NHL standings →
-1
CLS Score
15th unluckiest of 32 in the NHL
Avalanche are getting roughly what their play deserves. 4 points vs 3.9 expected — neutral on the luck scale.
Data last updated May 1, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC
Key Stats
4
Points
Expected: 3.9
14
Goals For
5
Goals Against
0.1
Points Above Expected
Lucky gap
CLS Evolution
How the CLS has changed throughout the season
Individual Games
☠ Unluckiest Matches
✦ Luckiest Matches
Gm1 · 2026-09-30 · vs Kings · Home+0.7 pts
Dominated Los Angeles Kings 8-4. A convincing win that the scoreline reflects.
Score: 8-4
Gm2 · 2026-10-03 · vs Blues · Home+0.3 pts
Dominated St. Louis Blues 6-1. A convincing win that the scoreline reflects.
Score: 6-1
Core Contributing Factors
What's Driving the CLS
Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.
OT Loss Rate
No OT losses - losing in regulation when they lose
-1
Pythagorean Delta
0 more points than their goal differential predicts
+0.5
Injury Burden
High injury burden (12 player-games missed) - key absences hurting
-0.5
Close Games
Not enough one-goal games to measure
0
Shootout Record
0-0 in shootouts (net 0)
0
Total CLS-1
Rivalry Check
How are the rivals doing?
Future Outlook
Regression Outlook
No Significant Regression Expected
Last 5: stable|80 games left
Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.
See the oddsWhy?
Avalanche are right where they belong. Their CLS of -1 means results match performance. What you see is what you get. Their next 5 opponents average 20th in the league - a favorable stretch.