Vegas Golden Knights CURSD Luck Score
2025-26 NHL regular season · 4 games played · View NHL standings →
-2
CLS Score
13th unluckiest of 32 in the NHL
Golden Knights are getting roughly what their play deserves. 6 points vs 6.5 expected — neutral on the luck scale.
Data last updated May 1, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC
Key Stats
6
Points
Expected: 6.5
17
Goals For
10
Goals Against
0.5
Points Below Expected
Unlucky gap
CLS Evolution
How the CLS has changed throughout the season
Unluckiest Match
Game 2 · 2026-10-02 · vs Ducks · at home
4-3
Lost at home against Ducks
Lost 3-4 against Anaheim Ducks. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
3
Goals
4
Opp. Goals
-0.9
Win Equity Lost
Individual Games
☠ Unluckiest Matches
Gm2 · 2026-10-02 · vs Ducks · Home-0.9 pts
Lost 3-4 against Anaheim Ducks. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 3-4
✦ Luckiest Matches
Gm3 · 2026-10-04 · vs Canucks · Away+0.8 pts
Edged Vancouver Canucks 3-2. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 3-2
Gm1 · 2026-09-29 · vs Blackhawks · Home+0.6 pts
Dominated Chicago Blackhawks 5-2. A convincing win that the scoreline reflects.
Score: 5-2
Gm4 · 2026-10-06 · vs Kraken · Away+0.5 pts
Dominated Seattle Kraken 6-2. A convincing win that the scoreline reflects.
Score: 6-2
Core Contributing Factors
What's Driving the CLS
Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.
Pythagorean Delta
0 more points than their goal differential predicts
-2.1
Injury Burden
High injury burden (5 player-games missed) - key absences hurting
+0.9
OT Loss Rate
No OT losses - losing in regulation when they lose
-0.8
Close Games
1-1 in one-goal games (50% win rate vs expected 50%)
0
Shootout Record
0-0 in shootouts (net 0)
0
Total CLS-2
Rivalry Check
How are the rivals doing?
Future Outlook
Regression Outlook
No Significant Regression Expected
Last 5: stable|78 games left
Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.
See the oddsWhy?
Golden Knights are right where they belong. Their CLS of -2 means results match performance. What you see is what you get. Their next 5 opponents average 20th in the league - a favorable stretch.