Vegas Golden Knights

Vegas Golden Knights CURSD Luck Score

2025-26 NHL regular season · View NHL standings →

-16
CLS Score
10th unluckiest of 32 in the NHL

Golden Knights can't catch a break. 95 points vs 97.7 expected. Shootouts, one-goal games, the small margins haven't fallen their way. Regression should help. Top driver: Shootout Record (-24.8 CLS impact). 1-8 in shootouts (net -7)

Data last updated May 1, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC

Key Stats

95
Points
Expected: 97.7
265
Goals For
250
Goals Against
2.7
Points Below Expected
Unlucky gap

Individual Games

☠ Unluckiest Matches

✦ Luckiest Matches

Core Contributing Factors

What's Driving the CLS

Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.

Shootout Record
1-8 in shootouts (net -7)
-24.8
Pythagorean Delta
3 fewer points than their goal differential predicts
-18
OT Loss Rate
17 OT losses earning loser points - collecting free points
+18
Injury Burden
No injury data available
+8.8
Close Games
Not enough one-goal games to measure
0
Total CLS-16

Future Outlook

Regression Outlook
Improvement Probable
Last 5: stable|81 games left

Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.

See the odds
Why?

At -16, Golden Knights are meaningfully unlucky. They're roughly 3 points below where their performance says they deserve to be. The underlying quality is there - results are expected to follow as luck normalizes. Their next 5 opponents average 27th in the league - a favorable stretch. That should help accelerate the correction.

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