Vegas Golden Knights CURSD Luck Score
2025-26 NHL regular season · 8 games played · View NHL standings →
+7
CLS Score
9th luckiest of 32 in the NHL
Golden Knights are getting roughly what their play deserves. 12 points vs 12.1 expected — neutral on the luck scale.
Data last updated May 1, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC
Key Stats
12
Points
Expected: 12.1
30
Goals For
20
Goals Against
0.1
Points Below Expected
Unlucky gap
CLS Evolution
How the CLS has changed throughout the season
Unluckiest Match
Game 2 · 2026-10-02 · vs Ducks · at home
4-3
Lost at home against Ducks
Lost 3-4 against Anaheim Ducks. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
3
Goals
4
Opp. Goals
-0.9
Win Equity Lost
Individual Games
☠ Unluckiest Matches
Gm2 · 2026-10-02 · vs Ducks · Home-0.9 pts
Lost 3-4 against Anaheim Ducks. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 3-4
Gm7 · 2026-10-12 · vs Wild · Away-0.7 pts
Lost to Minnesota Wild 2-4.
Score: 2-4
✦ Luckiest Matches
Gm5 · 2026-10-08 · vs Maple Leafs · Home+0.9 pts
Edged Toronto Maple Leafs 4-3 in OT/SO. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 4-3
Gm3 · 2026-10-04 · vs Canucks · Away+0.8 pts
Edged Vancouver Canucks 3-2. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 3-2
Gm6 · 2026-10-10 · vs Kings · Home+0.7 pts
Edged Los Angeles Kings 2-1 in OT/SO. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 2-1
Core Contributing Factors
What's Driving the CLS
Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.
Shootout Record
1-0 in shootouts (net +1)
+4.5
Close Games
3-1 in one-goal games (75% win rate vs expected 50%)
+3.5
OT Loss Rate
No OT losses - losing in regulation when they lose
-1.9
Injury Burden
High injury burden (6 player-games missed) - key absences hurting
+1.5
Pythagorean Delta
0 more points than their goal differential predicts
-0.6
Total CLS+7
Rivalry Check
How are the rivals doing?
Future Outlook
Regression Outlook
No Significant Regression Expected
Last 5: stable|74 games left
Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.
See the oddsWhy?
Golden Knights are right where they belong. Their CLS of +7 means results match performance. What you see is what you get. Their next 5 opponents average 21th in the league - a favorable stretch.