Vegas Golden Knights

Vegas Golden Knights CURSD Luck Score

2025-26 NHL regular season · 82 games played · View NHL standings →

-29
CLS Score
8th unluckiest of 32 in the NHL

Golden Knights can't catch a break. 95 points vs 97.7 expected. Shootouts, one-goal games, the small margins haven't fallen their way. Regression should help. Top driver: Shootout Record (-19.3 CLS impact). 1-8 in shootouts (net -7)

Data last updated May 1, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC

Key Stats

95
Points
Expected: 97.7
265
Goals For
250
Goals Against
2.7
Points Below Expected
Unlucky gap

CLS Evolution

How the CLS has changed throughout the season

Unluckiest Match
Game 34 · 2025-12-21 · vs Oilers · away
4-3
Lost away against Oilers

Lost 3-4 against Edmonton Oilers. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.

3
Goals
4
Opp. Goals
-0.9
Win Equity Lost

Individual Games

☠ Unluckiest Matches

Gm34 · 2025-12-21 · vs Oilers · Away-0.9 pts
Lost 3-4 against Edmonton Oilers. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 3-4
Gm39 · 2026-01-02 · vs Blues · Away-0.9 pts
Lost 3-4 against St. Louis Blues. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 3-4
Gm49 · 2026-01-22 · vs Bruins · Away-0.9 pts
Lost 3-4 against Boston Bruins. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 3-4

✦ Luckiest Matches

Gm62 · 2026-03-04 · vs Red Wings · Away+0.9 pts
Edged Detroit Red Wings 4-3 in OT/SO. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 4-3
Gm46 · 2026-01-15 · vs Maple Leafs · Home+0.9 pts
Edged Toronto Maple Leafs 6-5 in OT/SO. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 6-5
Gm41 · 2026-01-06 · vs Jets · Away+0.9 pts
Edged Winnipeg Jets 4-3 in OT/SO. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 4-3

Core Contributing Factors

What's Driving the CLS

Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.

Shootout Record
1-8 in shootouts (net -7)
-19.3
Close Games
16-27 in one-goal games (37% win rate vs expected 50%)
-16.7
Pythagorean Delta
3 fewer points than their goal differential predicts
-14
OT Loss Rate
17 OT losses earning loser points - collecting free points
+14
Injury Burden
No injury data available
+7
Total CLS-29

Future Outlook

Regression Outlook
Improvement Probable
Last 5: improving

Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.

See the odds
Why?

At -29, Golden Knights are meaningfully unlucky. They're roughly 3 points below where their performance says they deserve to be. Recent form suggests the tide is already turning.

Next Matches

No upcoming fixtures available