Blog/⚽ Premier League

Leeds 3-0 Wolves: CURSD Match Report

xG: 2.78-0.54. Wolves Unlucky (-21) | Leeds Lucky (+21).

3 - 0
xG: 2.8 - 0.5
LeedsxG 2.78 β†’ 3 goals
WolvesxG 0.54 β†’ 0 goals
0.54 xG left on the table
CURSD Verdict
Wolves
-21
Unlucky πŸ˜”
Leeds
+21
Lucky 😏
April 18, 2026

CURSD Match Report: Wolves πŸ˜” Unlucky (-21) | Leeds 😏 Lucky (+21)

Leeds created 2.78 xG. Wolves created 0.54 xG. The scoreboard read 3-0. The data says Wolves deserved more from this match.

The Data

StatLeedsWolves
xG2.780.54
Goals30
Shots (on target)17 (6)7 (2)
Shots inside box157
Possession56%44%
Corners56
GK saves13
Fouls917
Cards (Y/R)2/01/0

Key Events

18' Goal - J. Justin (assist: N. Okafor) (Leeds)

20' Goal - N. Okafor (assist: B. Aaronson) (Leeds)

90'+5 Goal - D. Calvert-Lewin (pen) (Leeds)

Verdict

- Wolves created 0.54 xG, scored 0 - Wolves GK made 3 saves

CURSD Match Score: Wolves -21 (Unlucky) | Leeds +21 (Lucky)

The xG share gap between process and outcome defines this match's luck signature. Wolves deserved a better outcome.

Match Stats

LeedsWolves
3Goals0
2.8xG0.5
17Shots7
56%Possession44%
Free

Liked this? Get more.

Weekly analysis like this one, in your inbox every Monday. 5 picks the CURSD way: cursed teams ripe for regression, blessed teams due to cool off.

No spam. One email per week. Unsubscribe anytime.

Share

Read next