Blog/ Premier League

Manchester City 2-1 Arsenal: Were Arsenal Robbery? CURSD Match Report

CURSD Luck Score: Arsenal Robbery (-37) | Manchester City Lucky (+37). xG: 1.41-1.53.

2 - 1
xG: 1.4 - 1.5
Arsenal
Arsenal
4-3-3
Manchester CityxG 1.412 goals
ArsenalxG 1.531 goal
0.53 xG left on the table
CURSD Verdict
Arsenal
-37
Robbery 😤
Manchester City
+37
Heist 🍀
April 19, 2026·Etihad Stadium·Ref: A. Taylor

CURSD Match Report: Arsenal 😤 Robbery (-37) | Manchester City 🍀 Heist (+37)

Manchester City created 1.41 xG. Arsenal created 1.53 xG. The scoreboard read 2-1. The data says Arsenal deserved more from this match.

The Data

StatManchester CityArsenal
xG1.411.53
Goals21
Shots (on target)15 (5)9 (3)
Shots inside box138
Possession59%41%
Corners85
GK saves12
Fouls512
Cards (Y/R)2/02/0

Key Events

16' Goal - R. Cherki (assist: M. Nunes) (Manchester City)

18' Goal - K. Havertz (Arsenal)

65' Goal - E. Haaland (Manchester City)

Verdict

- Manchester City created 1.41 xG, scored 2 - Arsenal created 1.53 xG, scored 1

CURSD Match Score: Arsenal -37 (Robbery) | Manchester City +37 (Heist)

The xG share gap between process and outcome defines this match's luck signature. Arsenal had a strong case for more.

Match Stats

Manchester CityArsenal
2Goals1
1.4xG1.5
15Shots9
59%Possession41%

Match Timeline

16'
R. Cherki - assist: M. NunesManchester City
18'
K. HavertzArsenal
36'🟨
C. MosqueraArsenal
60'🟨
M. GuehiManchester City
65'
E. HaalandManchester City
83'🟨
GabrielArsenal
83'🟨
E. HaalandManchester City
84'🟨
P. GuardiolaManchester City

Starting Lineups

Manchester City4-2-3-1
25GKGianluigi Donnarumma
27DEFMatheus Nunes
45DEFAbdukodir Khusanov
15DEFMarc Guéhi
33DEFNico O'Reilly
20MIDBernardo Silva
16MIDRodri
42MIDAntoine Semenyo
10MIDRayan Cherki
11MIDJérémy Doku
9FWDErling Haaland
Coach: Pep Guardiola
Arsenal4-3-3
1GKDavid Raya
3DEFCristhian Mosquera
2DEFWilliam Saliba
6DEFGabriel Magalhães
5DEFPiero Hincapié
8MIDMartin Odegaard
36MIDMartín Zubimendi
41MIDDeclan Rice
20FWDNoni Madueke
29FWDKai Havertz
10FWDEberechi Eze
Coach: Mikel Arteta
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