CURSD Match Report: Burnley π Unlucky (-19) | Nottingham Forest π Lucky (+19)
Nottingham Forest created 1.18 xG. Burnley created 0.36 xG. The scoreboard read 4-1. The data says Burnley deserved more from this match.
The Data
| Stat | Nottingham Forest | Burnley |
|---|---|---|
| xG | 1.18 | 0.36 |
| Goals | 4 | 1 |
| Shots (on target) | 10 (4) | 4 (3) |
| Shots inside box | 8 | 3 |
| Possession | 51% | 49% |
| Corners | 4 | 4 |
| GK saves | 2 | 1 |
| Fouls | 8 | 12 |
| Cards (Y/R) | 0/0 | 2/0 |
Key Events
45' Goal - Z. Flemming (assist: Q. Hartman) (Burnley)
62' Goal - M. Gibbs-White (Nottingham Forest)
69' Goal - M. Gibbs-White (assist: O. Hutchinson) (Nottingham Forest)
77' Goal - M. Gibbs-White (assist: R. Yates) (Nottingham Forest)
90' Goal - Igor Jesus (assist: N. Dominguez) (Nottingham Forest)
Verdict
- Nottingham Forest created 1.18 xG, scored 4 - Burnley created 0.36 xG, scored 1
CURSD Match Score: Burnley -19 (Unlucky) | Nottingham Forest +19 (Lucky)
The xG share gap between process and outcome defines this match's luck signature. Burnley deserved a better outcome.

