Blog/⚽ Premier League

Brighton 3-0 Chelsea: Were Chelsea Fair? CURSD Match Report

CURSD Luck Score: Chelsea Fair (-12) | Brighton Fair (+12). xG: 2.14-0.37.

3 - 0
xG: 2.1 - 0.4
BrightonxG 2.14 β†’ 3 goals
ChelseaxG 0.37 β†’ 0 goals
0.37 xG left on the table
CURSD Verdict
Chelsea
-12
Fair 😐
Brighton
+12
Fair 😐
April 21, 2026

CURSD Match Report: Chelsea 😐 Fair (-12) | Brighton 😐 Fair (+12)

Brighton created 2.14 xG. Chelsea created 0.37 xG. The scoreboard read 3-0. The result broadly matches the underlying play.

The Data

StatBrightonChelsea
xG2.140.37
Goals30
Shots (on target)15 (9)6 (0)
Shots inside box133
Possession53%47%
Corners65
GK saves04
Fouls156
Cards (Y/R)1/01/0

Key Events

3' Goal - F. Kadioglu (Brighton)

56' Goal - J. Hinshelwood (assist: G. Rutter) (Brighton)

90' Goal - D. Welbeck (assist: M. De Cuyper) (Brighton)

Verdict

- Brighton created 2.14 xG, scored 3 - Chelsea created 0.37 xG, scored 0 - Chelsea GK made 4 saves - Chelsea: 0 shots on target

CURSD Match Score: Chelsea -12 (Fair) | Brighton +12 (Fair)

Neither team was significantly lucky or unlucky. The result reflects the balance of play.

Match Stats

BrightonChelsea
3Goals0
2.1xG0.4
15Shots6
53%Possession47%
Free

Liked this? Get more.

Weekly analysis like this one, in your inbox every Monday. 5 picks the CURSD way: cursed teams ripe for regression, blessed teams due to cool off.

No spam. One email per week. Unsubscribe anytime.

Share

Read next