Blog/⚽ Premier League

Ipswich Win It, but the Data Disagrees

xG: Ipswich 1.2 - 1.9 Fulham. Fulham on the wrong side of finishing variance. Score: 2-1.

2 - 1
xG: 1.2 - 1.9
IpswichxG 1.22 β†’ 2 goals
FulhamxG 1.87 β†’ 1 goal
0.87 xG left on the table
CURSD Verdict
Fulham
-49
Robbery 😀
Ipswich
+49
Heist πŸ€
October 10, 2026

CURSD Match Report: Fulham 😀 Robbery (-49) | Ipswich πŸ€ Heist (+49)

Ipswich created 1.22 xG. Fulham created 1.87 xG. The scoreboard read 2-1. The data says Fulham deserved more from this match.

The Data

StatIpswichFulham
xG1.221.87
Goals21
Shots (on target)11 (5)13 (5)
Shots inside box79
Possession48%52%
Corners25
GK saves33
Fouls810
Cards (Y/R)2/04/0

Key Events

55' Goal - Ryan Sessegnon (Fulham)

88' Goal - Abdoul Ouattara (Ipswich)

90'+1 Goal - Dara O'Shea (assist: Jack Clarke) (Ipswich)

Verdict

- Ipswich created 1.22 xG, scored 2 - Fulham created 1.87 xG, scored 1 - Fulham GK made 3 saves - Ipswich GK made 3 saves

CURSD Match Score: Fulham -49 (Robbery) | Ipswich +49 (Heist)

The xG share gap between process and outcome defines this match's luck signature. Fulham had a strong case for more.

Match Stats

IpswichFulham
2Goals1
1.2xG1.9
11Shots13
48%Possession52%
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Common Questions

Ipswich Win It, but the Data Disagrees?

xG: Ipswich 1.2 - 1.9 Fulham. Fulham on the wrong side of finishing variance. Score: 2-1.

Which team is the most cursed in Premier League?

Fulham currently has the lowest CURSD Luck Score in Premier League: xG: Ipswich 1.2 - 1.9 Fulham. Fulham on the wrong side of finishing variance. Score: 2-1.

Which team is the most blessed in Premier League?

Ipswich currently has the highest CURSD Luck Score in Premier League.

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