Blog/⚽ Premier League

Manchester United Edge It 1-1, but Tottenham Have a Case

Manchester United 1-1 Tottenham (xG: 0.9-1.7). The numbers match the result.

1 - 1
xG: 0.9 - 1.7
Manchester UnitedxG 0.88 β†’ 1 goal
TottenhamxG 1.68 β†’ 1 goal
0.68 xG left on the table
CURSD Verdict
Tottenham
-15
Unlucky πŸ˜”
Manchester United
+15
Lucky 😏
October 10, 2026

CURSD Match Report: Tottenham πŸ˜” Unlucky (-15) | Manchester United 😏 Lucky (+15)

Manchester United created 0.88 xG. Tottenham created 1.68 xG. The scoreboard read 1-1. The data says Tottenham deserved more from this match.

The Data

StatManchester UnitedTottenham
xG0.881.68
Goals11
Shots (on target)12 (4)12 (3)
Shots inside box88
Possession45%55%
Corners44
GK saves23
Fouls1316
Cards (Y/R)4/03/1

Key Events

73' Goal - Bryan Mbeumo (assist: Matheus Cunha) (Manchester United)

78' Red card - Rodrigo Bentancur (Tottenham)

90'+2 Goal - Dominic Solanke (assist: Sandro Tonali) (Tottenham)

Verdict

- Tottenham created 1.68 xG, scored 1 - Tottenham GK made 3 saves

CURSD Match Score: Tottenham -15 (Unlucky) | Manchester United +15 (Lucky)

The xG share gap between process and outcome defines this match's luck signature. Tottenham deserved a better outcome.

Match Stats

Manchester UnitedTottenham
1Goals1
0.9xG1.7
12Shots12
45%Possession55%
Free

Liked this? Get more.

Weekly analysis like this one, in your inbox every Monday. 5 picks the CURSD way: cursed teams ripe for regression, blessed teams due to cool off.

No spam. One email per week. Unsubscribe anytime.

Share

Common Questions

Manchester United Edge It 1-1, but Tottenham Have a Case?

Manchester United 1-1 Tottenham (xG: 0.9-1.7). The numbers match the result.

Which team is the most cursed in Premier League?

Tottenham currently has the lowest CURSD Luck Score in Premier League: Manchester United 1-1 Tottenham (xG: 0.9-1.7). The numbers match the result.

Which team is the most blessed in Premier League?

Manchester United currently has the highest CURSD Luck Score in Premier League.

Read next