Blog/πŸ€ NBA

Miami Heat 124-125 Minnesota Timberwolves: The Margins Went Against Miami Heat

Miami Heat 124-125 Minnesota Timberwolves. eFG: 54%-55%. Per-game CURSD luck breakdown.

October 10, 2026

CURSD Match Report: Miami Heat πŸ˜” Unlucky (-17) | Minnesota Timberwolves 😏 Lucky (+17)

Miami Heat 124 - 125 Minnesota Timberwolves. Miami Heat shot 54% eFG, Minnesota Timberwolves shot 55% eFG. The data says Miami Heat deserved better in this game.

The Data

StatMiami HeatMinnesota Timberwolves
Final124125
FG43-94 (46%)41-87 (47%)
3PT16-34 (47%)14-34 (41%)
FT22-27 (81%)29-33 (88%)
eFG%54.3%55.2%
Rebounds (off)45 (12)46 (11)
Assists2726
Turnovers1413
Steals910
Blocks27
Fouls2225

Key Signals

- Miami Heat won the efficiency battle (54% vs 55% eFG) but lost - Miami Heat scorched from three: 16/34 (47%, +11 vs league avg) - Decided by 1 point; Minnesota Timberwolves on the right side of the close-game variance

Verdict

CURSD Match Score: Miami Heat -17 (Unlucky) | Minnesota Timberwolves +17 (Lucky)

Miami Heat were on the wrong side of the variance, but it wasn't egregious.

Free

Liked this? Get more.

Weekly analysis like this one, in your inbox every Monday. 5 picks the CURSD way: cursed teams ripe for regression, blessed teams due to cool off.

No spam. One email per week. Unsubscribe anytime.

Share

Common Questions

Miami Heat 124-125 Minnesota Timberwolves: The Margins Went Against Miami Heat?

Miami Heat 124-125 Minnesota Timberwolves. eFG: 54%-55%. Per-game CURSD luck breakdown.

Which team is the most cursed in NBA?

Miami Heat currently has the lowest CURSD Luck Score in NBA: Miami Heat 124-125 Minnesota Timberwolves. eFG: 54%-55%. Per-game CURSD luck breakdown.

Which team is the most blessed in NBA?

Minnesota Timberwolves currently has the highest CURSD Luck Score in NBA.

Read next