Blog/⚽ Premier League

Newcastle Won the xG Battle. Lost the Match.

Newcastle created 1.9 xG but lost 4-1. The xG gap of 0.3 tells a different story.

4 - 1
xG: 1.5 - 1.9
CoventryxG 1.52 β†’ 4 goals
NewcastlexG 1.85 β†’ 1 goal
0.85 xG left on the table
CURSD Verdict
Newcastle
-56
Cursed πŸ’€
Coventry
+56
Blessed 🎰
October 12, 2026

CURSD Match Report: Newcastle πŸ’€ Cursed (-56) | Coventry 🎰 Blessed (+56)

Coventry created 1.52 xG. Newcastle created 1.85 xG. The scoreboard read 4-1. The data says Newcastle deserved more from this match.

The Data

StatCoventryNewcastle
xG1.521.85
Goals41
Shots (on target)9 (6)19 (6)
Shots inside box611
Possession33%67%
Corners26
GK saves42
Fouls310
Cards (Y/R)1/01/0

Key Events

6' Goal - Jack Rudoni (pen) (Coventry)

48' Goal - Sidiki Cherif (Coventry)

70' Goal - Sven Botman (assist: Nico GonzΓ‘lez) (Newcastle)

81' Goal - Ellis Simms (assist: Brandon Thomas-Asante) (Coventry)

86' Goal - Stephen Mfuni (assist: Jay Dasilva) (Coventry)

Verdict

- Coventry created 1.52 xG, scored 4 - Newcastle created 1.85 xG, scored 1 - Coventry GK made 4 saves

CURSD Match Score: Newcastle -56 (Cursed) | Coventry +56 (Blessed)

The xG share gap between process and outcome defines this match's luck signature. Newcastle were robbed by the data's standards.

Match Stats

CoventryNewcastle
4Goals1
1.5xG1.9
9Shots19
33%Possession67%
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Common Questions

Newcastle Won the xG Battle. Lost the Match?

Newcastle created 1.9 xG but lost 4-1. The xG gap of 0.3 tells a different story.

Which team is the most cursed in Premier League?

Newcastle currently has the lowest CURSD Luck Score in Premier League: Newcastle created 1.9 xG but lost 4-1. The xG gap of 0.3 tells a different story.

Which team is the most blessed in Premier League?

Coventry currently has the highest CURSD Luck Score in Premier League.

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