Blog/⚽ Premier League

Crystal Palace Deserved More. The Data Proves It.

xG: Brighton 2.0 - 0.8 Crystal Palace. Crystal Palace on the wrong side of finishing variance. Score: 5-0.

5 - 0
xG: 2.0 - 0.8
BrightonxG 2.02 β†’ 5 goals
Crystal PalacexG 0.77 β†’ 0 goals
0.77 xG left on the table
CURSD Verdict
Crystal Palace
-41
Robbery 😀
Brighton
+41
Heist πŸ€
October 18, 2026

CURSD Match Report: Crystal Palace 😀 Robbery (-41) | Brighton πŸ€ Heist (+41)

Brighton created 2.02 xG. Crystal Palace created 0.77 xG. The scoreboard read 5-0. The data says Crystal Palace deserved more from this match.

The Data

StatBrightonCrystal Palace
xG2.020.77
Goals50
Shots (on target)17 (9)5 (1)
Shots inside box84
Possession57%43%
Corners85
GK saves15
Fouls1311
Cards (Y/R)2/01/0

Key Events

4' Goal - Jaydee Canvot (OG) (Brighton)

7' Goal - Diego Gomez (assist: Olivier Boscagli) (Brighton)

10' Goal - Yasin Ayari (assist: Charalampos Kostoulas) (Brighton)

49' Goal - Charalampos Kostoulas (Brighton)

84' Goal - Jack Hinshelwood (Brighton)

Verdict

- Brighton created 2.02 xG, scored 5 - Crystal Palace created 0.77 xG, scored 0 - Crystal Palace GK made 5 saves

CURSD Match Score: Crystal Palace -41 (Robbery) | Brighton +41 (Heist)

The xG share gap between process and outcome defines this match's luck signature. Crystal Palace had a strong case for more.

Match Stats

BrightonCrystal Palace
5Goals0
2.0xG0.8
17Shots5
57%Possession43%
Free

Liked this? Get more.

Weekly analysis like this one, in your inbox every Monday. 5 picks the CURSD way: cursed teams ripe for regression, blessed teams due to cool off.

No spam. One email per week. Unsubscribe anytime.

Share

Common Questions

Crystal Palace Deserved More. The Data Proves It?

xG: Brighton 2.0 - 0.8 Crystal Palace. Crystal Palace on the wrong side of finishing variance. Score: 5-0.

Which team is the most cursed in Premier League?

Crystal Palace currently has the lowest CURSD Luck Score in Premier League: xG: Brighton 2.0 - 0.8 Crystal Palace. Crystal Palace on the wrong side of finishing variance. Score: 5-0.

Which team is the most blessed in Premier League?

Brighton currently has the highest CURSD Luck Score in Premier League.

Read next