Blog/⚽ Premier League

Liverpool Win It, but the Data Disagrees

Brighton created 1.4 xG but lost 2-0. The xG gap of 0.5 tells a different story.

2 - 0
xG: 0.9 - 1.4
LiverpoolxG 0.95 β†’ 2 goals
BrightonxG 1.41 β†’ 0 goals
1.41 xG left on the table
CURSD Verdict
Brighton
-59
Cursed πŸ’€
Liverpool
+59
Blessed 🎰
October 25, 2026

CURSD Match Report: Brighton πŸ’€ Cursed (-59) | Liverpool 🎰 Blessed (+59)

Liverpool created 0.95 xG. Brighton created 1.41 xG. The scoreboard read 2-0. The data says Brighton deserved more from this match.

The Data

StatLiverpoolBrighton
xG0.951.41
Goals20
Shots (on target)13 (4)17 (1)
Shots inside box1010
Possession36%64%
Corners42
GK saves13
Fouls139
Cards (Y/R)0/02/0

Key Events

17' Goal - Pascal Groß (OG) (Liverpool)

21' Goal - Alexander Isak (assist: Bradley Barcola) (Liverpool)

Verdict

- Liverpool created 0.95 xG, scored 2 - Brighton created 1.41 xG, scored 0 - Brighton GK made 3 saves - Brighton: 10 shots inside box, 0 goals

CURSD Match Score: Brighton -59 (Cursed) | Liverpool +59 (Blessed)

The xG share gap between process and outcome defines this match's luck signature. Brighton were robbed by the data's standards.

Match Stats

LiverpoolBrighton
2Goals0
0.9xG1.4
13Shots17
36%Possession64%
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Common Questions

Liverpool Win It, but the Data Disagrees?

Brighton created 1.4 xG but lost 2-0. The xG gap of 0.5 tells a different story.

Which team is the most cursed in Premier League?

Brighton currently has the lowest CURSD Luck Score in Premier League: Brighton created 1.4 xG but lost 2-0. The xG gap of 0.5 tells a different story.

Which team is the most blessed in Premier League?

Liverpool currently has the highest CURSD Luck Score in Premier League.

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