Alaves CURSD Luck Score
2025-26 Season · View La Liga standings →
Alaves can't catch a break. 33 points when the data says they deserve closer to 40.02? 14 losses, many of them undeserved based on the chances created. The numbers say better days are coming.
Data last updated Oct 20, 2018, 1:46 AM UTC
Key Stats
CLS Evolution
How the CLS has changed throughout the season
A shutout loss that the numbers say should never have happened. Alaves generated 1.84 xG, comfortably more than the 0.85 their opponent managed. Girona generated just 0.85 xG but made it count. The model valued this match at 2.0 points for Alaves. They got 0. That's 2.0 points of bad luck in 90 minutes.
Individual Games
☠ Unluckiest Matches
✦ Luckiest Matches
Core Contributing Factors
What's Driving the CLS
Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.
Rank Per Signal
Where Alaves ranks among La Liga teams on each signal. #1 = most cursed.
Rivalry Check
How are the rivals doing?
Future Outlook
Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.
See the oddsAt -20, Alaves are meaningfully unlucky. They're roughly 7 points below where their performance says they deserve to be. The underlying quality is there - results are expected to follow as luck normalizes.