Rangers CURSD Luck Score
2026 MLB Season · View MLB standings →
-6
CLS Score
Rangers are getting what their run differential deserves. 11 wins vs 12.2 expected — the baseball gods are neutral.
Data last updated Oct 20, 2018, 1:46 AM UTC
Key Stats
11
Wins
Expected: 12.2
92
Runs Scored
82
Runs Allowed
1.2
Wins Below Expected
Unlucky gap
CLS Evolution
How the CLS has changed throughout the season
Unluckiest Match
Matchweek 13 · 2026-04-10 · vs Dodgers · away
7-8
Lost away against Dodgers
Lost 7-8 to Dodgers. A one-run game that could have gone either way.
7
Runs
8
Opp. Runs
-0.4
Pts Lost
Individual Games
☠ Unluckiest Matches
MW13 · 2026-04-10 · vs Dodgers · Away-0.4 pts
Lost 7-8 to Dodgers. A one-run game that could have gone either way.
Score: 7-8
MW18 · 2026-04-15 · vs Athletics · Away-0.4 pts
Lost 5-6 to Athletics. A one-run game that could have gone either way.
Score: 5-6
MW1 · 2026-03-26 · vs Phillies · Away-0.3 pts
Lost to Phillies 3-5.
Score: 3-5
✦ Luckiest Matches
MW2 · 2026-03-28 · vs Phillies · Away+0.4 pts
Edged Phillies 5-4 in 10 innings. The slimmest of margins.
Score: 5-4
MW19 · 2026-04-16 · vs Athletics · Away+0.3 pts
Beat Athletics 9-6.
Score: 9-6
MW11 · 2026-04-07 · vs Mariners · Home+0.3 pts
Edged Mariners 3-2. The slimmest of margins.
Score: 3-2
Core Contributing Factors
What's Driving the CLS
Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.
Pythagorean Delta
1 fewer wins than their run differential predicts
-5.6
Batting Luck
wOBA 0.320 vs xwOBA 0.315 - batters outperforming their contact quality
+1.6
One-Run Game Record
3-4 in one-run games (43% — below the .500 norm where teams historically regress, bad sequencing luck)
-1.4
Injury Burden
High injury burden (14 player-games missed) - key absences hurting
-0.7
Pitching Luck
ERA 3.58 vs xERA 3.82 - pitchers suppressing runs beyond what contact quality predicts
+0.1
Total CLS-6
Rank Per Signal
Where Rangers ranks among MLB teams on each signal. #1 = most cursed.
6-5.6
Pythagorean Delta
1
30
10-0.7
Injury Burden
1
30
14-1.4
One-Run Game Record
1
30
14+0.1
Pitching Luck
1
30
23+1.6
Batting Luck
1
30
Rivalry Check
How are the rivals doing?
Future Outlook
Regression Outlook
No Significant Regression Expected
Last 5: stable|140 games left
Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.
See the oddsWhy?
Rangers are right where they belong. Their CLS of -6 means results match performance. What you see is what you get. Their remaining schedule is moderate (opponents average 10th).