Barcelona Articles
7 pieces of CURSD analysis
⚽ La Liga·September 29, 2026
La Liga Regression Watch: Valencia's Luck Index Hits -28 While Barcelona Ride a Golden Cloud
The expected-points model sees a very different table than the one La Liga is showing you.
⚽ La Liga·May 19, 2026
La Liga's Luck Ledger: Barcelona's 23-Point Mirage and Athletic Club's Missing Rewards
The xPoints model sees a very different table than the one La Liga is showing you.
🏆 Cross-League·May 2, 2026
The Woodwork Curse: 686 Posts Hit, 129 xG Lost, and the Players the Frame Hates Most
Barcelona lost 5.49 xG to the woodwork this season. Riccardo Orsolini hit the post 7 times. Across five leagues, the frame is an invisible luck factor we now measure.
⚽ La Liga·April 29, 2026
La Liga's Defensive Luck Rankings: Who's Leaking Goals They Shouldn't Be?
Athletic Club have conceded 10.3 more goals than expected. Barcelona have conceded 10.6 fewer. The gap between them tells a story.
⚽ La Liga·April 28, 2026
La Liga Regression Watch: The Table Is Lying to You by Nearly 10 Points
Valencia are almost 10 xPoints below where they should be. Barcelona are nearly 20 above.
🏆 Champions League·April 8, 2026
Barcelona Out-xG Atleti 1.16 to 0.45, Lose 0-2 Anyway
18 shots, 58% possession, one red card, and a masterclass in why efficiency beats dominance.
⚽ La Liga·January 18, 2026
Barcelona Generate 3.7 xG, Lose at Real Sociedad
25 shots, two VAR interventions, and a 70th-minute equalizer undone within 60 seconds. The Reale Arena had other plans.