Brewers CURSD Luck Score
2026 MLB Season · View MLB standings →
+1
CLS Score
Brewers are getting what their run differential deserves. 12 wins vs 12.4 expected — the baseball gods are neutral.
Data last updated Oct 20, 2018, 1:46 AM UTC
Key Stats
12
Wins
Expected: 12.4
106
Runs Scored
87
Runs Allowed
0.4
Wins Below Expected
Unlucky gap
CLS Evolution
How the CLS has changed throughout the season
Unluckiest Match
Matchweek 7 · 2026-04-03 · vs Royals · away
0-0
Lost away against Royals
Shut out on the road by Royals. 0 runs conceded, 0 scored.
0
Runs
0
Opp. Runs
-0.5
Pts Lost
Individual Games
☠ Unluckiest Matches
MW7 · 2026-04-03 · vs Royals · Away-0.5 pts
Shut out on the road by Royals. 0 runs conceded, 0 scored.
Score: 0-0
MW16 · 2026-04-12 · vs Nationals · Home-0.4 pts
Lost to Nationals 6-8.
Score: 6-8
MW17 · 2026-04-14 · vs Blue Jays · Home-0.4 pts
Fell to Blue Jays 7-9 in 10 innings. Couldn't close it out in extras.
Score: 7-9
✦ Luckiest Matches
MW20 · 2026-04-17 · vs Marlins · Away+0.4 pts
Outlasted Marlins 7-5 in 10 innings. Extra baseball went their way.
Score: 7-5
MW11 · 2026-04-06 · vs Red Sox · Away+0.4 pts
Beat Red Sox 8-6.
Score: 8-6
MW3 · 2026-03-29 · vs White Sox · Home+0.4 pts
Beat White Sox 9-7.
Score: 9-7
Core Contributing Factors
What's Driving the CLS
Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.
Pythagorean Delta
0 more wins than their run differential predicts
-2.7
Batting Luck
wOBA 0.327 vs xwOBA 0.323 - batters outperforming their contact quality
+2
Injury Burden
High injury burden (10 player-games missed) - key absences hurting
+1.3
Pitching Luck
ERA 3.57 vs xERA 3.85 - pitchers suppressing runs beyond what contact quality predicts
+0.4
One-Run Game Record
Not enough one-run games yet (2-2)
0
Total CLS+1
Rank Per Signal
Where Brewers ranks among MLB teams on each signal. #1 = most cursed.
13-2.7
Pythagorean Delta
1
30
150
One-Run Game Record
1
30
16+0.4
Pitching Luck
1
30
22+1.3
Injury Burden
1
30
26+2
Batting Luck
1
30
Rivalry Check
How are the rivals doing?
Future Outlook
Regression Outlook
No Significant Regression Expected
Last 5: stable|140 games left
Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.
See the oddsWhy?
Brewers are right where they belong. Their CLS of +1 means results match performance. What you see is what you get. Their remaining schedule is moderate (opponents average 9th).