Buffalo Sabres CURSD Luck Score
2025-26 NHL regular season · View NHL standings →
+22
CLS Score
8th luckiest of 32 in the NHL
Sabres have had the bounces go their way. The CLS says they're a bit above what their underlying play justifies. Nothing extreme, but worth watching. Top driver: Shootout Record (+17.7 CLS impact). 5-1 in shootouts (net +4)
Data last updated May 1, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC
Key Stats
109
Points
Expected: 108.6
288
Goals For
241
Goals Against
0.4
Points Above Expected
Lucky gap
Individual Games
☠ Unluckiest Matches
✦ Luckiest Matches
Core Contributing Factors
What's Driving the CLS
Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.
Shootout Record
5-1 in shootouts (net +4)
+17.7
OT Loss Rate
9 OT losses earning loser points - collecting free points
+3.8
Pythagorean Delta
0 more points than their goal differential predicts
+2.7
Injury Burden
High injury burden (9 player-games missed) - key absences hurting
-2.2
Close Games
Not enough one-goal games to measure
0
Total CLS+22
Rivalry Check
How are the rivals doing?
Future Outlook
Regression Outlook
Dip in Form Probable
Last 5: stable|81 games left
Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.
See the oddsWhy?
Sabres are riding their luck at +22. They're winning games their underlying numbers don't fully support. The correction hasn't started yet, but historical patterns suggest it's coming.