Calgary Flames CURSD Luck Score
2025-26 NHL regular season · View NHL standings →
+10
CLS Score
15th luckiest of 32 in the NHL
Flames are getting roughly what their play deserves. 77 points vs 74.1 expected — neutral on the luck scale.
Data last updated May 1, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC
Key Stats
77
Points
Expected: 74.1
212
Goals For
259
Goals Against
2.9
Points Above Expected
Lucky gap
Individual Games
☠ Unluckiest Matches
✦ Luckiest Matches
Core Contributing Factors
What's Driving the CLS
Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.
Pythagorean Delta
3 more points than their goal differential predicts
+20.7
OT Loss Rate
9 OT losses earning loser points - collecting free points
-8.6
Injury Burden
High injury burden (12 player-games missed) - key absences hurting
-6.2
Shootout Record
4-3 in shootouts (net +1)
+4.1
Close Games
Not enough one-goal games to measure
0
Total CLS+10
Rivalry Check
How are the rivals doing?
Future Outlook
Regression Outlook
No Significant Regression Expected
Last 5: stable|81 games left
Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.
See the oddsWhy?
Flames are right where they belong. Their CLS of +10 means results match performance. What you see is what you get. Their next 5 opponents average 21th in the league - a favorable stretch.