Edmonton Oilers CURSD Luck Score
2025-26 NHL regular season · 3 games played · View NHL standings →
+3
CLS Score
11th luckiest of 32 in the NHL
Oilers are getting roughly what their play deserves. 5 points vs 3.9 expected — neutral on the luck scale.
Data last updated May 1, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC
Key Stats
5
Points
Expected: 3.9
17
Goals For
14
Goals Against
1.1
Points Above Expected
Lucky gap
CLS Evolution
How the CLS has changed throughout the season
Individual Games
☠ Unluckiest Matches
✦ Luckiest Matches
Gm2 · 2026-10-01 · vs Canucks · Away+0.9 pts
Beat Vancouver Canucks 9-7.
Score: 9-7
Gm3 · 2026-10-03 · vs Kraken · Home+0.5 pts
Beat Seattle Kraken 3-1.
Score: 3-1
Gm1 · 2026-09-29 · vs Canucks · Home+0.1 pts
Lost 5-6 in OT/SO against Vancouver Canucks. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 5-6
Core Contributing Factors
What's Driving the CLS
Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.
Pythagorean Delta
1 more points than their goal differential predicts
+5.5
OT Loss Rate
1 OT losses earning loser points - some consolation from OT
+4
Injury Burden
High injury burden (27 player-games missed) - key absences hurting
-3.6
Close Games
0-1 in one-goal games (0% win rate vs expected 50%)
-2.9
Shootout Record
0-0 in shootouts (net 0)
0
Total CLS+3
Rivalry Check
How are the rivals doing?
Future Outlook
Regression Outlook
No Significant Regression Expected
Last 5: stable|79 games left
Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.
See the oddsWhy?
Oilers are right where they belong. Their CLS of +3 means results match performance. What you see is what you get. Their remaining schedule is moderate (opponents average 14th).