Vancouver Canucks CURSD Luck Score
2025-26 NHL regular season · 4 games played · View NHL standings →
-5
CLS Score
9th unluckiest of 32 in the NHL
Canucks are getting roughly what their play deserves. 4 points vs 4.6 expected — neutral on the luck scale.
Data last updated May 1, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC
Key Stats
4
Points
Expected: 4.6
19
Goals For
18
Goals Against
0.6
Points Below Expected
Unlucky gap
CLS Evolution
How the CLS has changed throughout the season
Unluckiest Match
Game 2 · 2026-10-01 · vs Oilers · at home
9-7
Lost at home against Oilers
Lost to Edmonton Oilers 7-9.
7
Goals
9
Opp. Goals
-0.9
Win Equity Lost
Individual Games
☠ Unluckiest Matches
Gm2 · 2026-10-01 · vs Oilers · Home-0.9 pts
Lost to Edmonton Oilers 7-9.
Score: 7-9
Gm4 · 2026-10-04 · vs Golden Knights · Home-0.8 pts
Lost 2-3 against Vegas Golden Knights. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 2-3
✦ Luckiest Matches
Gm1 · 2026-09-29 · vs Oilers · Away+0.9 pts
Edged Edmonton Oilers 6-5 in OT/SO. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 6-5
Gm3 · 2026-10-03 · vs Flames · Home+0.4 pts
Dominated Calgary Flames 4-1. A convincing win that the scoreline reflects.
Score: 4-1
Core Contributing Factors
What's Driving the CLS
Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.
Pythagorean Delta
1 fewer points than their goal differential predicts
-2.9
Injury Burden
High injury burden (15 player-games missed) - key absences hurting
-1.1
OT Loss Rate
No OT losses - losing in regulation when they lose
-1
Close Games
1-1 in one-goal games (50% win rate vs expected 50%)
0
Shootout Record
0-0 in shootouts (net 0)
0
Total CLS-5
Rivalry Check
How are the rivals doing?
Future Outlook
Regression Outlook
No Significant Regression Expected
Last 5: stable|78 games left
Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.
See the oddsWhy?
Canucks are right where they belong. Their CLS of -5 means results match performance. What you see is what you get. Their remaining schedule is moderate (opponents average 12th).