Vancouver Canucks

Vancouver Canucks CURSD Luck Score

2025-26 NHL regular season · 82 games played · View NHL standings →

-12
CLS Score
13th unluckiest of 32 in the NHL

Canucks are getting roughly what their play deserves. 58 points vs 58.8 expected — neutral on the luck scale.

Data last updated May 1, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC

Key Stats

58
Points
Expected: 58.8
216
Goals For
316
Goals Against
0.8
Points Below Expected
Unlucky gap

CLS Evolution

How the CLS has changed throughout the season

Unluckiest Match
Game 9 · 2025-10-25 · vs Canadiens · at home
4-3
Lost at home against Canadiens

Lost 3-4 against Montréal Canadiens. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.

3
Goals
4
Opp. Goals
-0.9
Win Equity Lost

Individual Games

☠ Unluckiest Matches

Gm9 · 2025-10-25 · vs Canadiens · Home-0.9 pts
Lost 3-4 against Montréal Canadiens. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 3-4
Gm49 · 2026-01-19 · vs Islanders · Home-0.9 pts
Lost 3-4 against New York Islanders. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 3-4
Gm51 · 2026-01-23 · vs Devils · Home-0.9 pts
Lost 4-5 against New Jersey Devils. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 4-5

✦ Luckiest Matches

Gm81 · 2026-04-14 · vs Kings · Home+0.9 pts
Edged Los Angeles Kings 4-3 in OT/SO. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 4-3
Gm80 · 2026-04-12 · vs Ducks · Away+0.9 pts
Edged Anaheim Ducks 4-3 in OT/SO. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 4-3
Gm79 · 2026-04-11 · vs Sharks · Away+0.9 pts
Edged San Jose Sharks 4-3 in OT/SO. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 4-3

Core Contributing Factors

What's Driving the CLS

Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.

Shootout Record
6-2 in shootouts (net +4)
+11.5
OT Loss Rate
8 OT losses earning loser points - some consolation from OT
-10.8
Injury Burden
High injury burden (18 player-games missed) - key absences hurting
-4.6
Pythagorean Delta
1 fewer points than their goal differential predicts
-4.2
Close Games
15-17 in one-goal games (47% win rate vs expected 50%)
-3.9
Total CLS-12

Future Outlook

Regression Outlook
No Significant Regression Expected
Last 5: stable

Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.

See the odds
Why?

Canucks are right where they belong. Their CLS of -12 means results match performance. What you see is what you get.

Next Matches

No upcoming fixtures available