Vancouver Canucks

Vancouver Canucks CURSD Luck Score

2025-26 NHL Season · View NHL standings →

-15
CLS Score

Vancouver Canucks are getting roughly what their play deserves. 58 points vs 58.8 expected — neutral on the luck scale.

Data last updated Oct 20, 2018, 1:46 AM UTC

Key Stats

58
Points
Expected: 58.8
216
Goals For
316
Goals Against
0.8
Points Below Expected
Unlucky gap

CLS Evolution

How the CLS has changed throughout the season

Unluckiest Match
Matchweek 9 · 2025-10-25 · vs Montréal Canadiens · at home
3-4
Lost at home against Montréal Canadiens

Lost 3-4 against Montréal Canadiens. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.

3
Goals
4
Opp. Goals
-0.9
Pts Lost

Individual Games

☠ Unluckiest Matches

MW9 · 2025-10-25 · vs Montréal Canadiens · Home-0.9 pts
Lost 3-4 against Montréal Canadiens. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 3-4
MW49 · 2026-01-19 · vs New York Islanders · Home-0.9 pts
Lost 3-4 against New York Islanders. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 3-4
MW51 · 2026-01-23 · vs New Jersey Devils · Home-0.9 pts
Lost 4-5 against New Jersey Devils. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 4-5

✦ Luckiest Matches

MW81 · 2026-04-14 · vs Los Angeles Kings · Home+0.9 pts
Edged Los Angeles Kings 4-3 in OT/SO. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 4-3
MW80 · 2026-04-12 · vs Anaheim Ducks · Away+0.9 pts
Edged Anaheim Ducks 4-3 in OT/SO. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 4-3
MW79 · 2026-04-11 · vs San Jose Sharks · Away+0.9 pts
Edged San Jose Sharks 4-3 in OT/SO. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 4-3

Core Contributing Factors

What's Driving the CLS

Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.

Shootout Record
6-2 in shootouts (net +4)
+11.1
OT Loss Rate
8 OT losses earning loser points - some consolation from OT
-10.4
Injury Burden
High injury burden (353 player-games missed) - key absences hurting
-7.9
Pythagorean Delta
1 fewer points than their goal differential predicts
-4
Close Games
15-17 in one-goal games (47% win rate vs expected 50%)
-3.8
Total CLS-15

Rank Per Signal

Where Vancouver Canucks ranks among NHL teams on each signal. #1 = most cursed.

4
OT Loss Rate
1
32
-10.4
4
Injury Burden
1
32
-7.9
10
Pythagorean Delta
1
32
-4
14
Close Games
1
32
-3.8
28
Shootout Record
1
32
+11.1

Future Outlook

Regression Outlook
Improvement Probable
Last 5: stable

Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.

See the odds
Why?

At -15, Vancouver Canucks are meaningfully unlucky. They're roughly 1 points below where their performance says they deserve to be. The underlying quality is there - results are expected to follow as luck normalizes.

Next Matches

No upcoming fixtures available