Carolina Hurricanes

Carolina Hurricanes CURSD Luck Score

2025-26 NHL regular season · 82 games played · View NHL standings →

+36
CLS Score
5th luckiest of 32 in the NHL

Hurricanes have had the bounces go their way. The CLS says they're a bit above what their underlying play justifies. Nothing extreme, but worth watching. Top driver: Close Games (+24.5 CLS impact). 24-11 in one-goal games (69% win rate vs expected 50%)

Data last updated May 1, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC

Key Stats

113
Points
Expected: 111.4
296
Goals For
240
Goals Against
1.6
Points Above Expected
Lucky gap

CLS Evolution

How the CLS has changed throughout the season

Unluckiest Match
Game 63 · 2026-03-07 · vs Flames · away
5-4
Lost away against Flames

Lost 4-5 against Calgary Flames. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.

4
Goals
5
Opp. Goals
-0.9
Win Equity Lost

Individual Games

☠ Unluckiest Matches

Gm63 · 2026-03-07 · vs Flames · Away-0.9 pts
Lost 4-5 against Calgary Flames. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 4-5
Gm8 · 2025-10-25 · vs Stars · Away-0.8 pts
Lost 2-3 against Dallas Stars. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 2-3
Gm35 · 2025-12-20 · vs Lightning · Away-0.8 pts
Lost to Tampa Bay Lightning 4-6.
Score: 4-6

✦ Luckiest Matches

Gm78 · 2026-04-07 · vs Bruins · Home+0.9 pts
Edged Boston Bruins 6-5 in OT/SO. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 6-5
Gm76 · 2026-04-04 · vs Islanders · Home+0.9 pts
Edged New York Islanders 4-3. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 4-3
Gm69 · 2026-03-20 · vs Maple Leafs · Away+0.9 pts
Edged Toronto Maple Leafs 4-3 in OT/SO. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 4-3

Core Contributing Factors

What's Driving the CLS

Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.

Close Games
24-11 in one-goal games (69% win rate vs expected 50%)
+24.5
Pythagorean Delta
2 more points than their goal differential predicts
+8.7
Shootout Record
5-4 in shootouts (net +1)
+2.7
Injury Burden
High injury burden (6 player-games missed) - key absences hurting
+1.2
OT Loss Rate
7 OT losses earning loser points - some consolation from OT
-1.1
Total CLS+36

Future Outlook

Regression Outlook
Dip in Form Probable
Last 5: improving

Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.

See the odds
Why?

Hurricanes are riding their luck at +36. They're winning games their underlying numbers don't fully support. The correction hasn't started yet, but historical patterns suggest it's coming.

Next Matches

No upcoming fixtures available