Carolina Hurricanes

Carolina Hurricanes CURSD Luck Score

2025-26 NHL regular season · View NHL standings →

+17
CLS Score
12th luckiest of 32 in the NHL

Hurricanes have had the bounces go their way. The CLS says they're a bit above what their underlying play justifies. Nothing extreme, but worth watching. Top driver: Pythagorean Delta (+11.2 CLS impact). 2 more points than their goal differential predicts

Data last updated May 1, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC

Key Stats

113
Points
Expected: 111.4
296
Goals For
240
Goals Against
1.6
Points Above Expected
Lucky gap

Individual Games

☠ Unluckiest Matches

✦ Luckiest Matches

Core Contributing Factors

What's Driving the CLS

Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.

Pythagorean Delta
2 more points than their goal differential predicts
+11.2
Injury Burden
High injury burden (6 player-games missed) - key absences hurting
+3.8
Shootout Record
5-4 in shootouts (net +1)
+3.4
OT Loss Rate
7 OT losses earning loser points - some consolation from OT
-1.4
Close Games
Not enough one-goal games to measure
0
Total CLS+17

Future Outlook

Regression Outlook
Dip in Form Probable
Last 5: stable|81 games left

Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.

See the odds
Why?

Hurricanes are riding their luck at +17. They're winning games their underlying numbers don't fully support. The correction hasn't started yet, but historical patterns suggest it's coming.

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