Carolina Hurricanes

Carolina Hurricanes CURSD Luck Score

2025-26 NHL Season · View NHL standings →

+36
CLS Score

Carolina Hurricanes have had the bounces go their way. The CLS says they're a bit above what their underlying play justifies. Nothing extreme, but worth watching.

Data last updated Oct 20, 2018, 1:46 AM UTC

Key Stats

113
Points
Expected: 111.4
296
Goals For
240
Goals Against
1.6
Points Above Expected
Lucky gap

CLS Evolution

How the CLS has changed throughout the season

Unluckiest Match
Matchweek 63 · 2026-03-07 · vs Calgary Flames · away
4-5
Lost away against Calgary Flames

Lost 4-5 against Calgary Flames. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.

4
Goals
5
Opp. Goals
-0.9
Pts Lost

Individual Games

☠ Unluckiest Matches

MW63 · 2026-03-07 · vs Calgary Flames · Away-0.9 pts
Lost 4-5 against Calgary Flames. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 4-5
MW8 · 2025-10-25 · vs Dallas Stars · Away-0.8 pts
Lost 2-3 against Dallas Stars. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 2-3
MW35 · 2025-12-20 · vs Tampa Bay Lightning · Away-0.8 pts
Lost to Tampa Bay Lightning 4-6.
Score: 4-6

✦ Luckiest Matches

MW78 · 2026-04-07 · vs Boston Bruins · Home+0.9 pts
Edged Boston Bruins 6-5 in OT/SO. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 6-5
MW76 · 2026-04-04 · vs New York Islanders · Home+0.9 pts
Edged New York Islanders 4-3. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 4-3
MW69 · 2026-03-20 · vs Toronto Maple Leafs · Away+0.9 pts
Edged Toronto Maple Leafs 4-3 in OT/SO. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 4-3

Core Contributing Factors

What's Driving the CLS

Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.

Close Games
25-11 in one-goal games (69% win rate vs expected 50%)
+24.1
Pythagorean Delta
2 more points than their goal differential predicts
+8.2
Shootout Record
5-4 in shootouts (net +1)
+2.5
Injury Burden
High injury burden (246 player-games missed) - key absences hurting
+2.2
OT Loss Rate
7 OT losses earning loser points - some consolation from OT
-1
Total CLS+36

Rank Per Signal

Where Carolina Hurricanes ranks among NHL teams on each signal. #1 = most cursed.

14
OT Loss Rate
1
32
-1
18
Shootout Record
1
32
+2.5
19
Injury Burden
1
32
+2.2
21
Pythagorean Delta
1
32
+8.2
32
Close Games
1
32
+24.1

Future Outlook

Regression Outlook
Dip in Form Probable
Last 5: improving

Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.

See the odds
Why?

Carolina Hurricanes are riding their luck at +36. They're winning games their underlying numbers don't fully support. The correction hasn't started yet, but historical patterns suggest it's coming.

Next Matches

No upcoming fixtures available