Carolina Hurricanes CURSD Luck Score
2025-26 NHL regular season · 4 games played · View NHL standings →
+7
CLS Score
6th luckiest of 32 in the NHL
Hurricanes are getting roughly what their play deserves. 5 points vs 4 expected — neutral on the luck scale.
Data last updated May 1, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC
Key Stats
5
Points
Expected: 4
11
Goals For
12
Goals Against
1
Points Above Expected
Lucky gap
CLS Evolution
How the CLS has changed throughout the season
Unluckiest Match
Game 2 · 2026-10-02 · vs Capitals · at home
5-2
Lost at home against Capitals
Blown out by Washington Capitals 2-5. Tough night.
2
Goals
5
Opp. Goals
-0.6
Win Equity Lost
Individual Games
☠ Unluckiest Matches
Gm2 · 2026-10-02 · vs Capitals · Home-0.6 pts
Blown out by Washington Capitals 2-5. Tough night.
Score: 2-5
✦ Luckiest Matches
Gm1 · 2026-09-29 · vs Panthers · Home+1.0 pts
Shut out at home against Florida Panthers. 1 goals conceded, 0 scored.
Score: 0-1
Gm4 · 2026-10-06 · vs Canadiens · Away+0.8 pts
Beat Montréal Canadiens 6-4.
Score: 6-4
Gm3 · 2026-10-03 · vs Flyers · Away+0.8 pts
Edged Philadelphia Flyers 3-2 in OT/SO. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 3-2
Core Contributing Factors
What's Driving the CLS
Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.
Pythagorean Delta
1 more points than their goal differential predicts
+4.7
OT Loss Rate
1 OT losses earning loser points - some consolation from OT
+1.5
Injury Burden
High injury burden (6 player-games missed) - key absences hurting
+0.8
Close Games
1-1 in one-goal games (50% win rate vs expected 50%)
0
Shootout Record
0-0 in shootouts (net 0)
0
Total CLS+7
Rivalry Check
How are the rivals doing?
Future Outlook
Regression Outlook
No Significant Regression Expected
Last 5: stable|78 games left
Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.
See the oddsWhy?
Hurricanes are right where they belong. Their CLS of +7 means results match performance. What you see is what you get. Their next 5 opponents average 20th in the league - a favorable stretch.