New York Rangers

New York Rangers CURSD Luck Score

2025-26 NHL regular season · 82 games played · View NHL standings →

-69
CLS Score
1st unluckiest of 32 in the NHL

Rangers have been robbed by hockey's coin flips. 77 points from 87.8 expected — the kind of gap that shows up when shootouts, OT losses, and one-goal games have all gone the wrong way. The underlying performance says they're better than the standings show. Top driver: Pythagorean Delta (-56.2 CLS impact). 11 fewer points than their goal differential predicts

Data last updated May 1, 2026, 7:00 PM UTC

Key Stats

77
Points
Expected: 87.8
238
Goals For
250
Goals Against
10.8
Points Below Expected
Unlucky gap

CLS Evolution

How the CLS has changed throughout the season

Unluckiest Match
Game 51 · 2026-01-20 · vs Kings · away
4-3
Lost away against Kings

Lost 3-4 against Los Angeles Kings. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.

3
Goals
4
Opp. Goals
-0.9
Win Equity Lost

Individual Games

☠ Unluckiest Matches

Gm51 · 2026-01-20 · vs Kings · Away-0.9 pts
Lost 3-4 against Los Angeles Kings. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 3-4
Gm56 · 2026-01-31 · vs Penguins · Away-0.9 pts
Lost 5-6 against Pittsburgh Penguins. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 5-6
Gm72 · 2026-03-25 · vs Maple Leafs · Away-0.9 pts
Lost 3-4 against Toronto Maple Leafs. A one-goal margin - the thinnest of margins.
Score: 3-4

✦ Luckiest Matches

Gm53 · 2026-01-26 · vs Bruins · Home+0.9 pts
Edged Boston Bruins 4-3 in OT/SO. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 4-3
Gm37 · 2025-12-20 · vs Flyers · Home+0.9 pts
Edged Philadelphia Flyers 5-4 in OT/SO. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 5-4
Gm33 · 2025-12-13 · vs Canadiens · Home+0.9 pts
Edged Montréal Canadiens 5-4 in OT/SO. Close game that could have gone either way.
Score: 5-4

Core Contributing Factors

What's Driving the CLS

Each factor's contribution to the CLS score. These add up to the total.

Pythagorean Delta
11 fewer points than their goal differential predicts
-56.2
Close Games
11-21 in one-goal games (34% win rate vs expected 50%)
-19.6
Shootout Record
3-1 in shootouts (net +2)
+8.1
OT Loss Rate
9 OT losses earning loser points - collecting free points
-6.3
Injury Burden
High injury burden (3 player-games missed) - key absences hurting
+5
Total CLS-69

Future Outlook

Regression Outlook
Results Expected to Improve
Last 5: stable

Based on regression analysis - statistical tendencies, not guarantees.

See the odds
Why?

Rangers are deeply cursed at -69. This level of underperformance almost never persists. The data they're generating - the chances created, the shots taken, the defensive work - all point to a team better than their record. Regression to the mean is one of the most reliable forces in sports.

Next Matches

No upcoming fixtures available